|

Gold - risk reversals hit 5-month low

  • Risk reversals shows increased demand for Puts
  • Gold hovers near Oct. lows

Gold's (XAU/USD) drop below the 200-day MA earlier this week and a move to Oct, low of $1260 has revived demand for the bearish bets on the yellow metal.

Risk reversals

The one-month 25 delta risk reversals gauge fell to -0.85; the lowest level since Jul. 14. It shows rising demand for gold (XAU) puts.

As of writing, gold is trading at  $1263/Oz levels. Repeated failure to scale $1300 in late November finally turned the tables in favor of the bears. Prices closed below the 200-day MA on Tuesday, still, the metal has managed to defend the support of Oct low of $1260.

However, the rising demand for put options means the support could be breached soon.

Gold Technical Levels

A break below $1260 (Oct. low) could yield a sell-off to $1254.16 (Aug. 4 low) and $1249.94 (Aug. 8 low). On the higher side, breach of resistance at $1267 (200-day MA) would open up upside towards $1278 (10-day MA) and $1280 (50-day MA).

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD ticks lower following the release of FOMC Minutes

The US Dollar found some near-term demand following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes, with the EUR/USD pair currently piercing the 1.1750 threshold. The document showed officials are still willing to trim interest rates. Meanwhile, thinned holiday trading keeps major pairs confined to familiar levels.

GBP/USD remains sub- 1.3500, remains in the red

The GBP/USD lost traction early in the American session, maintaining the sour tone and trading around 1.3460 following the release of the FOMC meeting minutes. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility.

Gold stable above $4,350 as the year comes to an end

Gold price got to recover some modest ground on Tuesday, holding on to intraday gains and changing hands at $4,360 a troy ounce in the American afternoon. The bright metal showed no reaction to the release of the FOMC December meeting minutes.

Ethereum: ETH holds above $2,900 despite rising selling activity

Ethereum (ETH) held the $2,900 level despite seeing increased selling pressure over the past week. The Exchange Netflow metric showed deposits outweighed withdrawals by about 400K ETH. The high value suggests rising selling activity amid the holiday season.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).