Gold: Rally still has some legs left? - TDS

Sandeep Kanihama FXStreet Contributor

Analysts at TD Securities explain that the CTAs has turned bullish on gold for the first time in six months supported by the signs of a flinching Fed.

Key Quotes

“The next upside trigger for gold remains out of sight, suggesting that appetite from discretionary traders will have to grow for prices to remain supported. And, as precious metals offer a much needed hedge against collapsing equity prices, we think this rally in gold has not run out of steam in the near-term, until additional evidence surfaces that stocks have bottomed.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

AUD/USD holds steady near 0.7200 amid escalating US-Iran tensions

AUD/USD consolidates just below its highest level since mid-May, touched on Friday, and hovers around 0.7200 at the start of a new week amid mixed cues. Hawkish RBA expectations continue to act as a tailwind for the Aussie. Meanwhile, the upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpins the safe-haven US Dollar and caps the currency pair.

USD/JPY hovers around 156.00 as more hawkish BoJ bets cap gains

USD/JPY holds steady above 156.00 on Monday as the US Dollar draws support from escalating US-Iran tensions and rising Fed rate-hike bets, bolstered by Friday's upbeat NFP report. Moreover, concerns over Japan’s fiscal outlook keep the Japanese Yen on the back foot and support the currency pair, though more hawkish BoJ expectations and a suspected intervention cap the upside.

Gold flat lines above $4,400 as Fed hike bets and Iran tensions support USD

Gold kicks off the new week on a subdued note, though it holds above $4,400. Friday's upbeat US NFP report lifted Fed rate hike bets, which, along with escalating US-Iran tensions, underpin the safe-haven US Dollar and cap the bullion. The lack of follow-through selling, however, warrants caution before confirming that the recent bounce from a nearly four-week low has run out of steam.

The week ahead: Dollar at a crossroads as CPI and ECB take centre stage

With the summer finally over, investors returned with a strong appetite for action. Following last week’s strong performance, the US dollar has taken a back seat so far this week, as oil, the yen and sovereign bond yields monopolized market interest.

CFTC report: Oil rebound offsets broader positioning retreat

The week in one sentence: Speculative positioning became more defensive in the week ending September 1. Yen short positioning recorded the largest deterioration, while Gold length also retreated. Oil buying returned alongside stronger prices, and Canadian Dollar and Euro positioning improved, although Euro flows diverged from weaker spot prices.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.