|

Gold Price Prediction: XAU/USD commences new bull run after breaking out of key technical pattern

  • Gold is seeking higher support, preferably at $1,720 ahead of the upswing toward $1,800.
  • A technical breakout from the falling wedge flipped the trend bullish.
  • XAU/USD will fail to reach the potential target if support at $1,720 and the 100 SMA is broken.

Gold is setting up for a colossal move to highs around $1,800. The world’s most precious metal appears to have flipped from an extended bearish trend to a bullish impulse. XAU/USD recently embraced support at $1,680, paving the way to the ongoing uptrend.

The multi-month downtrend printed a falling wedge pattern amid the calls for recovery. This a bullish chart pattern that usually occurs in a down-trending market. Two trendlines form this wedge, with one connecting a series of descending peaks and then the other connecting a series of descending troughs.

A breakout is expected to occur before the trendlines meet. The 4-hour chart shows gold already having broken out of the wedge and started the upswing toward $1,800. Resistance at $1,740, as highlighted by the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA), cut short the upswing.

However, XAU/USD embraced higher support at $1,740. For now, the least resistance path is upwards, especially with the bulls slicing through the 100 SMA hurdle.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reinforces the uptrend as it settles above the midline. An incoming MACD cross would a huge bullish signal. On the upside, overhead pressure at the 50 SMA and the 200 SMA is expected to delay the anticipated breakout.

XAU/USD 4-hour chart

XAU/USD 4-hour chart

On the flip side, gold must hold above the immediate support at $1,720 and, by extension, the 100 SMA to sustain the uptrend. Action under these two key zone would put pressure on lower anchors at $1,700 and $1,680, thus opening the door to massive declines.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 after RBA-speak

AUD/USD picks up bids above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Tuesday, following hawkish comments from RBA Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter and Governor Michele Bullock. However, escalating tensions in the Middle East and the Fed's hawkish outlook remain supportive of the bullish US Dollar undertone, which could limit the pair. The crucial Trump-Xi summit is later this week and remains in focus.

USD/JPY holds small gains near 157.50 as JPY intervention risks loom

USD/JPY posts modest gains while trading near 157.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday as intervention fears help limit losses for the Japanese Yen. However, the BoJ's dovish rate hike to a 31-year high keeps JPY bulls on the back foot. Meanwhile, the US Dollar retains a bullish undertone amid the Fed's hawkish outlook and escalating Middle East tensions, providing tailwinds for the pair.

Gold  battles $4,300 amid hawkish Fed, Iran risks

Gold turns lower for the second consecutive day following a modest intraday uptick, challenging the $4,315 region, or a three-day low in the European session on Tuesday. The US Federal Reserve's hawkish outlook is seen as a key factor driving flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin pauses rally as profit-taking reaches yearly high

Bitcoin takes a breather, facing a pullback, trading below $85,500 on Tuesday after surging 6.7% the previous day. Strong institutional demand supports the bullish price action, with spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds recording nearly $1 billion in inflows on Monday and Strategy adding 950 BTC to its treasury.

Energy and risk markets remain in the driver’s seat
US stock markets rallied up 2.26% (Nasdaq) yesterday with AI/tech names leading the advance. The Nasdaq even tested the all-time high reached early June. The likes of the S&P 500 and EuroStoxx50 recovered up to 1.5%. Positive risk vibes and lower energy prices supported consolidation on bond markets following the past month’s heavy losses. European yield curves bull steepened.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.