Gold Price News and Forecast: XAU/USD looks north

FXStreet Team FXStreet

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD looks north, two key levels to watch out – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) started out the US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) week on a solid footing, rallying nearly $20 on Monday. The metal bounced-off the SMA100 one-day support for the third straight day, courtesy of the broad retreat in the US dollar from two-month peaks.

The risk-on mood returned amid upbeat Chinese Industrial Profits data, lifting the sentiment on the global markets at the expense of the safe-haven greenback. Further, hopes of the US Congress reaching a fiscal stimulus deal also added to the broader market optimism.

Asia Update: Stocks fly as banks finally take off

Gold appeared to put in a good a base around $1,850 after a reasonably negative September, with the metal averaging a 1-2% move lower during the month in the past five years. It’s now down almost 5% on the month, and at slightly more compelling levels to enter into longs, given positions are much cleaner than even after last month sell-off.

Gold is up on a weaker US dollar, and more gains could be in the offing as focus shifts to US elections, political uncertainty and geopolitical risks.

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD rebounds from lows, back to 1.1360

After bottoming out near 1.1320, EUR/USD gathers some traction and reclaims the 1.1350-1.1360 band as the NA session draws to a close on Wednesday. The pair’s drop to multi-month lows comes in response to the continuous leg higher in the US Dollar, which remains propped up by hawkish Fed expectations and uncertainty over the outcome of US-Iran peace negotiations.

Gold pressured near fresh 2026 lows

Gold accelerates its decline and gyrates around the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Wednesday, its lowest level since November 2025. In the meantime, tighter-for-longer Fed expectations and a broadly firmer US Dollar continue to weigh on the yellow metal, while uncertainty surrounding a potential US-Iran peace agreement has done little to revive demand for the safe haven space.

XRP nears key support as Fed hike risks suppress demand

Ripple (XRP) continues to face significant selling pressure, trading around $1.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday. This decline mirrors the broader weakness in the crypto market, exacerbated by mounting macroeconomic headwinds and persistent geopolitical uncertainties.

US-Iran talks: The next 60 days will decide where Oil prices go next

Oil markets received some encouraging news after weeks of rising tensions in the Middle East. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves: we’re far from victory, and markets just seem to have priced out the worst-case scenario. The US and Iran have reportedly made "substantive progress" in talks in Switzerland and agreed on a framework for working toward a broader deal within 60 days.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.