|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD to rebound on a cautious Fed – Commerzbank

Gold Price is on standby ahead of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision. A cautious Fed could trigger a correction higher in the yellow metal, economists at Commerzbank report.

Another sharp increase in jobs created could weigh on gold 

“A rate hike of 50 basis points is generally expected and is fully priced in according to the Fed Fund Futures. It will therefore be almost more interesting to hear what Fed Chair Powell has to say about the bank’s future monetary policy. If he sounds very hawkish and indicates that other major rate hikes will be made at the following Fed meetings, this could push the US dollar and bond yields further up, which would presumably depress XAUUSD.” 

“If Powell were to sound more cautious, the gold price would probably profit and could recoup some of the losses it has suffered in the past few days.” 

“The ADP labour market report will be published in the US this afternoon ahead of the Fed interest rate decision. The Bloomberg consensus anticipates another sharp increase in the number of jobs created. This could weigh on the gold price this afternoon.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1800 as traders brace for US PPI release

The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1800 during the early Asian session on Friday. The pair steadies as softer Eurozone inflation offsets US tariff uncertainties. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Consumer Price Index from Germany on Friday for more clues about the pace of future policy easing. On the US front, the Producer Price Index report will be released. 

GBP/USD declines below 1.3500 on UK political uncertainty, US PPI data eyed

The GBP/USD pair loses ground to near 1.3485 during the early Asian session on Friday. The Pound Sterling weakens against the Greenback amid rising UK political uncertainty surrounding the Gorton and Denton by-election.  

Gold awaits acceptance above $5,200 and US PPI data

Gold consolidates previous rebound near $5,200 amid risk-off markets, awaiting US PPI release. The US Dollar eyes a flattish weekly close as dovish Fed outlook and tariff woes outweigh geopolitical risks. Gold yearns for acceptance above $5,200 to resume the uptrend, with a bullish RSI in play.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.