|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD to rebound on a cautious Fed – Commerzbank

Gold Price is on standby ahead of the Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision. A cautious Fed could trigger a correction higher in the yellow metal, economists at Commerzbank report.

Another sharp increase in jobs created could weigh on gold 

“A rate hike of 50 basis points is generally expected and is fully priced in according to the Fed Fund Futures. It will therefore be almost more interesting to hear what Fed Chair Powell has to say about the bank’s future monetary policy. If he sounds very hawkish and indicates that other major rate hikes will be made at the following Fed meetings, this could push the US dollar and bond yields further up, which would presumably depress XAUUSD.” 

“If Powell were to sound more cautious, the gold price would probably profit and could recoup some of the losses it has suffered in the past few days.” 

“The ADP labour market report will be published in the US this afternoon ahead of the Fed interest rate decision. The Bloomberg consensus anticipates another sharp increase in the number of jobs created. This could weigh on the gold price this afternoon.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles aroound 1.1800 as USD stabilizes

EUR/USD stays defensive around 1.1800 in the European session on Thursday. The US Dollar stabilizes, following the recent decline led by tariff uncertainty, capping the pair's upside. All eyes now remain on the US-Iran nuclear talks after ECB President Lagarde's testimony fails to impress Euro bulls. 

GBP/USD drops toward 1.3500 as USD finds fresh demand

GBP/USD falls back toward 1.3500 in the European session on Thursday, snapping its recovery momentum. The pair loses traction as the US Dollar finds fresh demand, as markets turn cautious ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks. The US trade policy uncertainty also remains a drag on risk sentiment. 

Gold clings to gains amid sustained safe-haven flows ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold sticks to its modest intraday gains through the first half of the European session on Thursday, with bulls still awaiting a sustained move and acceptance above the $5,200 mark before placing fresh bets. 

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.