|

Gold Price Forecast: XAUUSD investors remain loyal amid rising yields – Commerzbank

Gold Price has fallen to $1,940 as rising bond yields put the yellow metal under pressure.  Strategists at Commerzbank would not overestimate the setback as ETF inflows are sill ongoing, showing that investors remain loyal to gold.

Rising bond yields and real interest rates make gold less attractive as an alternative investment

“Gold’s fall is probably due to the continued rise in bond yields. Yields on ten-year US Treasuries have meanwhile climbed to just shy of 3%, their highest level since December 2018. As a result, real interest rates have likewise risen further and reached zero.”

“Rising bond yields and real interest rates make gold less attractive as an alternative investment because it does not yield any interest itself.”

“So far, gold has been holding its own pretty well against the increased yields and interest rates/rate expectations. Demand for gold as a safe-haven amid the Ukraine war and as a store of value in view of the high inflation has been and remains solid. This is also reflected in the ongoing (considerable) ETF inflows. For as long as this group of investors remains loyal to gold, we would not overestimate the setback.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD advances as US-Iran peace deal weighs on US Dollar

EUR/USD rises after registering minor losses in the previous day, trading around 1.1610 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar declines amid easing risk aversion following the reports that the United States and Iran agree on a peace deal to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.


GBP/USD rises as market sentiment improves on US-Iran peace deal

GBP/USD gains ground after registering minor losses in the previous day, trading around 1.3450 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair rises as the US Dollar declines amid easing risk aversion following the reports that the United States and Iran have agreed on a peace deal to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

Gold: US-Iran peace deal bolsters recovery as eyes turn to Fed

Gold is at its highest level in four days early Monday, above $4,300, extending the bullish opening gap and the recent recovery. The bright metal kicks off a new week with a bang, having hit year-to-date lows near the $4,000 threshold last week.


Bitcoin consolidates gains, Ethereum defends support, XRP nears breakout trigger


Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple begin the week on a constructive note as the top three cryptocurrencies attempt to extend rebounds after recovering nearly 4%, 2% and 2.6%, respectively. BTC steadies around $65,600, ETH continues to hold firmly above the key $1,700 support, while XRP nears the upper boundary of the falling channel pattern. 

President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete
President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete and he authorises the toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz and removal of the US Naval blockade. While the agreement is made, it is expected to be signed on Friday to take effect. The Forex market looks stable and could react slowly to the positivity around the news as Iran still expresses its mistrust on the US.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.