Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to struggle amid prospects of more tightening – ANZ

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

Recent weakness in the USD saw Gold price testing $1,780. But the Federal Reserve’s commitment to bringing inflation down with tighter monetary policy leaves room for gains in the greenback, strategists at ANZ Bank report.

Fed to hike another 100 bps

“Softer than expected inflation in the US triggered a sell-off in the US Dollar, pushing Gold higher. Nevertheless, inflation remains well above the central bank’s target range of 2%. This leaves room for more tightening until inflation slows considerably.”

“US benchmark yields are rising and likely to move higher given the view of another 100 bps rate hike by the Fed. Investment demand is stabilising, with slowing ETF outflows and covering of short positions.”

“Physical demand for Gold is weakening, though central bank purchases remain strong.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

AUD/USD bulls seem hesitant below 0.7050 ahead of RBA on Tuesday

AUD/USD reverses an Asian session dip on Monday as renewed optimism over Iran diplomacy boosts investor confidence, keeping a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar and supporting the risk-sensitive Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the one-month high, touched last Thursday, as bulls wait for the crucial RBA decision before taking fresh positions.

USD/JPY climbs to 158.00 neighborhood as BoJ uncertainty weighs on the JPY

The USD/JPY pair gains some positive traction at the start of a new week, recovering further from Friday's post-Bank of Japan (BoJ) swing low to sub-157.00 levels. The momentum lifts spot prices to the 158.00 neighborhood during the Asian session and seems unaffected by fresh intervention warning from Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama.

Gold struggles to build on recovery from YTD low as Fed hike bets cap gains

Gold kicks off the new week on a positive note, snapping a two-day losing streak and reversing part of Friday's heavy losses to sub-$3,900 levels, or its lowest since October 2025. The optimism over a potential diplomatic breakthrough to end the US-Iran war caps the safe-haven US Dollar, and offers some support to the commodity. Meanwhile, US Federal Reserve rate hike bets remain firmly on the table amid oil-driven inflation concerns and might act as a headwind for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple rebound as November begins after a losing October

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple recover slightly on Monday after closing October with four straight weeks of losses. BTC climbs above $78,462 after finding support around its key support zones, while ETH rebounds above $2,295 but remains below key Exponential Moving Averages, keeping its near-term outlook bearish.

Middle East War updates: Iran warns of expanded strikes against US despite progress in talks

Here’s a brief recap of the key developments in the Middle East war that occurred over the weekend, which are expected to have a significant impact on markets in the upcoming week.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions

The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.