|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to challenge YTD low near $1,615 on failure to hold $1,642

Gold prices fell marginally amid a weakening US dollar despite a stronger-than-expected US inflation print. XAU/USD could retest year-to-date low near $1,615, FXStreet’s Haresh Menghani reports.

The path of least resistance for XAU/USD is to the downside

“The overnight failure near the $1,682-$1,684 supply zone suggests that the path of least resistance for the XAU/USD is to the downside. The outlook is reinforced by the fact that oscillators on daily/4-hour charts are holding in the negative territory.”

“A slide back towards the overnight swing low, around the $1,642 region, remains a distinct possibility. Some follow-through selling will expose the YTD low, around the $1,615 region touched in September. This is followed by the $1,600 round figure, which if broken decisively will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders.”

“The $1,682-$1,684 region might continue to act as an immediate strong resistance ahead of the $1,700 mark. A sustained strength beyond the latter is needed to negate the near-term negative bias and set the stage for additional gains. Gold might then accelerate the momentum back towards retesting the monthly peak, around the $1,728-$1,730 zone.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.