Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD stages mild recovery below $2,000, US PCE data eyed


  • Gold price rebounds to $1,985 amid lower US Treasury yields, weaker USD.
  • The US economy showed an expansion in the third quarter.
  • Market players will monitor the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) on Friday.

Gold price stages a mild recovery during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The rebound of the precious metal is supported by the lower Treasury yields. Gold price currently trades near $1,985, up 0.05% for the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), the value of the USD relative to a basket of global currencies, drops to 106.58 after reaching 106.90. The US Treasury bond yields edge lower on Friday, with the 10-year US Treasury yield declining to 4.85%. This, in turn, lifts the upside of the yellow metal.

The US economy showed an improvement in the third quarter (Q3). The preliminary US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for Q3 expanded by 4.9% versus 2.1% prior, better than the estimation of 4.2%, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on Thursday. Furthermore, the Initial Jobless Claims rose to 210,000 for the week ending October 21 from the previous reading of 200,000 (revised from 198,000), below the market expectation of 208,000. Continuing claims rose by 63,000, the highest reading since May.

The markets anticipate the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will keep rates on hold and maintain a tightening bias at its meeting next week. On Thursday, US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that the US economy is operating well, although Americans are worried about the economy. Yellen mentioned that the recent rise in yields is unrelated to deficits and does not portend an oncoming recession. On the contrary, it reflects the strength of the US economy. Apart from this, escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may boost safe-haven assets such as gold.

Across the pond, the European Central Bank (ECB) left key policy rates unchanged on Thursday. The ECB suggested that the focus of the policy is shifting to how long rates would remain at current levels, and they did not address adjusting their QE (PEPP) reinvestment profile.

Looking ahead, market players will closely monitor the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE) due later on Friday. Also, the US Consumer Inflation Expectation and Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for October will be released. Next week, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting will be in the spotlight. Traders will take cues from the data and find trading opportunities around the gold price.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1984.48
Today Daily Change -0.20
Today Daily Change % -0.01
Today daily open 1984.68
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1901.29
Daily SMA50 1910.62
Daily SMA100 1923.6
Daily SMA200 1932.26
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1993.55
Previous Daily Low 1971.83
Previous Weekly High 1997.23
Previous Weekly Low 1908.23
Previous Monthly High 1953.01
Previous Monthly Low 1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1985.25
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1980.13
Daily Pivot Point S1 1973.16
Daily Pivot Point S2 1961.63
Daily Pivot Point S3 1951.44
Daily Pivot Point R1 1994.88
Daily Pivot Point R2 2005.07
Daily Pivot Point R3 2016.6

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.0700 on stronger USD, EU political angst

EUR/USD extends slide below 1.0700 on stronger USD, EU political angst

EUR/USD stays under bearish pressure and trades at its lowest level since early May below 1.0700. Unabated US Dollar demand amid risk aversion and looming EU political uncertainty exert downside pressure on the pair heading into the weekend.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD slumps to multi-week lows below 1.2700

GBP/USD slumps to multi-week lows below 1.2700

GBP/USD extends its decline on Friday and trades at its lowest level in nearly a month below 1.2700. In the absence of high-tier data releases, the US Dollar continues to benefit from souring market mood, forcing the pair to stretch lower in the second half of the day.

GBP/USD News

Gold clings to recovery gains at around $2,330

Gold clings to recovery gains at around $2,330

Following Thursday's pullback, Gold holds its ground on Friday and trades in positive territory near $2,330. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges lower toward 4.2%, helping XAU/USD push higher ahead of the weekend.

Gold News

Monero price poised for a downward correction

Monero price poised for a downward correction

Monero price has encountered resistance at a critical level. The technical outlook suggests a potential short-term correction as momentum indicators signal a bearish divergence.

Read more

Week ahead – RBA, SNB and BoE next to decide, CPI and PMI data also on tap

Week ahead – RBA, SNB and BoE next to decide, CPI and PMI data also on tap

It will be another central-bank-heavy week with the RBA, SNB and BoE. Retail sales will be the highlight in the United States. Plenty of other data also on the way, including flash PMIs and UK CPI.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures