Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD soars above $1925 amid escalating Middle East tensions, dovish Fed

Gold prices (XAU/USD) surge, trading at $1,929.20, reflecting a gain of over 3% amidst the escalating Israel-Palestine conflict.
Shift from aerial to ground operations in Gaza by Israel intensifies geopolitical tensions, bolstering safe-haven assets.
Deteriorating US Consumer Sentiment and dovish remarks from Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker apply pressure to US Treasury yields.

Christian Borjon Valencia FXStreet

Gold price (XAU/USD) is sustaining an outstanding rally on Friday as geopolitical tensions rise in the conflict between Israel and Palestine. Traders seeking safety flock towards the yellow metal amid times of uncertainty, while the Greenback (USD) is also advancing. The XAU/USD is trading at $1,929.20 a troy ounce, gains more than 3%, after bouncing from daily lows of $1,868.69

XAU/USD approaches $2,000 as investors seek safe havens amidst geopolitical strife and deteriorating US Consumer Sentiment

XAU/USD found dip buyers as Gold prices rose more than 3% on developments that Israel is shifting from air to ground operations in the Gaza strip, spurring fears the conflict could spill toward other regions in the Middle East. Consequently, safe-haven assets remain bid towards the weekend, with the non-yielding metal's chances of hitting the $2,000 mark increasing.

In the meantime, economic data from the United States (US) witnessed that Consumer Sentiment amongst Americans continues to deteriorate, according to the University of Michigan (UoM) October survey. Aside from this, Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker commented that no additional rate hikes “are likely” to be needed.

Consequently, US Treasury bond yields decelerated, particularly the US 10-year Real Yields, which remain at 2.289%, falling seven basis points, following the footsteps of the 10-year benchmark note, yielding 4.629%, down 7 basis points.

In the meantime, the US Dollar Index (DXY) advances 0.08% and sits at 106.66, usually a headwind for Gold prices, with both safe-haven, which generally correlates negatively, moving in tandem to the upside.

XAU/USD Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The ongoing Gold rally witnessed the yellow metal climbing above the 20, 50, and 100-day moving averages (DMAs), with buyers targeting the 200-DMA at $1929.47. A decisive break of the latter could propel Gold toward the $1950 psychological area before aiming toward a July 20 swing high of $1987.42. Conversely, failure at the 200-DMA could expose XAU/USD to selling pressure and drag the precious metal towards the confluence of the 50-DMA and the $1900 figure.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1928.49
Today Daily Change	59.83
Today Daily Change %	3.20
Today daily open	1868.66

Trends
Daily SMA20	1877.98
Daily SMA50	1901.59
Daily SMA100	1923.42
Daily SMA200	1928.69

Levels
Previous Daily High	1885.15
Previous Daily Low	1867.95
Previous Weekly High	1849.16
Previous Weekly Low	1810.51
Previous Monthly High	1953.01
Previous Monthly Low	1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1874.52
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1878.58
Daily Pivot Point S1	1862.69
Daily Pivot Point S2	1856.72
Daily Pivot Point S3	1845.49
Daily Pivot Point R1	1879.89
Daily Pivot Point R2	1891.12
Daily Pivot Point R3	1897.09

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

FXStreet

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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