Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD sees a downside towards $1,700 on lower consensus for US Inflation


  • Gold price is expected to drop to near $1,700.00 on a breakdown of Ascending Triangle.
  • Lower consensus for US CPI is resulting in a sell-off in the precious metal.
  • The headline US CPI is seen lower at 8.1% vs. 8.5% reported earlier.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is witnessing a steep fall after refreshing intraday’s low at $1,712.96. The precious metal is facing a sell-off heat to lower consensus for the US Consumer Price Index (CPI). The yellow metal is expected to continue its vulnerable performance and will decline towards the psychological support of $1,700.00.

As per the market estimates, the US inflation will land at 8.1%, 40 basis points lower than the prior release. The households in the US economy are facing the headwinds of soaring price pressures for a prolonged time. They are forced higher payouts on similar quantities purchased. As gasoline prices have fallen dramatically and the rising interest rates by the Federal Reserve (Fed) have started doing their job perfectly now, price pressures are experiencing exhaustion signals.

It is worth noting that gold is considered an inflation-hedged asset and a lower consensus for inflationary pressures is forcing the market participants to ditch the yellow metal.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) has turned sideways as a lower consensus for the headline CPI figure will force the Fed policymakers to trim their hawkish tone.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price has dropped below the Ascending Triangle pattern whose upward-sloping trendline is placed from Wednesday’s low at $1,694.31 while the horizontal resistance is August 31 high at $1,726.62. The 20-and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are overlapping to each other, which indicates a sideways move ahead.

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which supports a consolidation ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 1713.08
Today Daily Change -3.74
Today Daily Change % -0.22
Today daily open 1716.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1734.78
Daily SMA50 1743.86
Daily SMA100 1795.67
Daily SMA200 1833.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1729.57
Previous Daily Low 1708.45
Previous Weekly High 1729.57
Previous Weekly Low 1691.47
Previous Monthly High 1807.93
Previous Monthly Low 1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1721.5
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1716.52
Daily Pivot Point S1 1706.99
Daily Pivot Point S2 1697.16
Daily Pivot Point S3 1685.87
Daily Pivot Point R1 1728.11
Daily Pivot Point R2 1739.4
Daily Pivot Point R3 1749.23

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

AUD/USD weakens further as US Treasury yields boost US Dollar

AUD/USD weakens further as US Treasury yields boost US Dollar

The Australian Dollar extended its losses against the US Dollar for the second straight day, as higher US Treasury bond yields underpinned the Greenback. On Wednesday, the AUD/USD lost 0.26% as market participants turned risk-averse. As the Asian session begins, the pair trades around 0.6577.

AUD/USD News

EUR/USD stuck near midrange ahead of thin Thursday session

EUR/USD stuck near midrange ahead of thin Thursday session

EUR/USD is reverting to the near-term mean, stuck near 1.0750 and stuck firmly in the week’s opening trading range. Markets will be on the lookout for speeches from ECB policymakers, but officials are broadly expected to avoid rocking the boat amidst holiday-constrained market flows.

EUR/USD News

Gold price drops amid higher US yields awaiting next week's US inflation

Gold price drops amid higher US yields awaiting next week's US inflation

Gold remained at familiar levels on Wednesday, trading near $2,312 amid rising US Treasury yields and a strong US dollar. Traders await unemployment claims on Thursday, followed by Friday's University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment survey.

Gold News

President Biden threatens crypto with possible veto of Bitcoin custody among trusted custodians

President Biden threatens crypto with possible veto of Bitcoin custody among trusted custodians

Joe Biden could veto legislation that would allow regulated financial institutions to custody Bitcoin and crypto. Biden administration’s stance would disrupt US SEC’s work to protect crypto market investors and efforts to safeguard broader financial system.

Read more

Navigating the future of precious metals

Navigating the future of precious metals

In a recent episode of the Vancouver Resource Investment Conference podcast, hosted by Jesse Day, guests Stefan Gleason and JP Cortez shared their expert analysis on the dynamics of the gold and silver markets and discussed legislative efforts to promote these metals as sound money in the United States.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures