|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD revives hopes amid Russia-Ukraine geopolitical risks

Gold price is trading around $1,850, retreating from three-month highs of $1,866, as investors take profits off the table after the recent upsurge. But as FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta notes, XAU/USD is set to resume the uptrend.

Golden cross remains in play

“The looming geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine will remain the biggest risks for markets, which could potentially keep gold underpinned.”

“Immediate support is seen at $1,846, the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of the rally from January 28 that peaked out last Friday. Further south, the February 10 highs of $1,842 will be tested, below which floors could open up towards 38.2% Fibo level of the same ascent.”

“The correction appears short-lived for gold, as the golden cross remains in play while the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) still holds comfortable above the central line, despite the latest downtick.”

“If buyers regain poise, then a retest of the multi-month highs at $1,866 will be inevitable. The next critical resistance area is seen around $1,870-$1,872 price zone, which is the November peaks.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD keeps range near mid-0.7100s as USD bulls await US CPI

AUD/USD steadies near mid-0.7100s in the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's sharp decline to an over one-week low. The August PPI report reaffirmed Fed rate-hike bets and boosted the US Dollar on Thursday, which weighed heavily on the pair. However, hawkish RBA expectations limited losses for the Aussie as USD bulls now await the release of the US consumer inflation figures before placing fresh bets.

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00; looks to US CPI

USD/JPY holds lower ground toward 154.00 in the Asian session on Friday after hot Japanese PPI data bolster a more hawkish BoJ repricing and provide fresh impetus to the Japanese Yen. However, the downside appears capped as the US Dollar preserves overnight gains ahead of the latest US consumer inflation data.

Gold moves away from one-week low, climbs above $4,450 as USD edges lower ahead of CPI

Gold builds on its modest intraday recovery from the $4,300 neighborhood, or a one-and-a-half-week low, touched earlier this Friday, and climbs above $4,350 heading into the European session. The upside potential, however, seems limited as traders opt to wait for the release of US consumer inflation figures before placing directional bets.

Cardano approaches critical support as correction risks grow
Cardano (ADA) recovers slightly, trading at $0.206 at the time of writing on Friday, inches above the critical support zone after losing more than 6% so far this week. Weakening derivatives data and fading bullish momentum suggest a bearish near-term outlook, with a decisive close below the support zone potentially triggering a deeper correction for ADA.
US core CPI data set to ease in August as markets reprice Fed September rate decision

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will publish the August Consumer Price Index data on Friday. The report is expected to show a small decline in annual core inflation. Any divergence from analysts’ estimates could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook and impact the US Dollar’s valuation.

Venezuela’s 65-billion-barrel Oil deal could reshape America’s inflation fight
The United States (US) has secured unprecedented access to part of Venezuela’s vast Oil reserves. The timing is particularly significant as the war with Iran is disrupting Middle Eastern supplies, keeping energy prices elevated and reviving concerns about inflation.