|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains weak below $1,740 after Powell-led blow

  • Gold Price holds lower ground after Friday’s over 1% steep sell-off.
  • Hawkish Fed’s Powell sparks US dollar upswing, as risk tone sours.
  • XAU/USD challenges critical daily support line, more downside likely.

Gold Price is licking its wounds while keeping its range below $1,740, as a fresh week kicks off on a defensive note. Markets reprice September rate hike expectations in the lead-up to the US Nonfarm Payrolls week, especially after Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish remarks at Friday’s Jackson Hole appearance.

Powell maintained that the Fed will continue with its tightening path until inflation is brought down substantially from a four-decade high. The Fed Chief also added that the September rate hike decision will be data-dependent.

The US dollar bulls the hawkish comments in their stride and staged an impressive comeback in American trading on Friday while Wall Street indices suffered heavy losses, as Powell doused speculation of policy easing in the months ahead to tackle economic slowdown.

The extension of risk-aversion combined with the dollar gains in Asia so far this Monday is keeping gold traders on the back foot, as they gear up for another critical week. The US will publish the critical ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs ahead of Friday’s payrolls. Each incoming data will be closely examined for signals on the size of the next Fed rate hike.

China’s economic data will also hog the limelight, as it will have a significant impact on the market’s perception of risk sentiment, eventually affecting the dollar’s valuation.

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD closes the week above 50 DMA, what’s next?

Technically, gold price tumbled to challenge the critical rising trendline support, now at $1,735. Daily closing below the latter is needed to extend Friday’s sell-off towards the previous week’s low of $1,728.

Bears will revive the bets for a test of the $1,700 threshold in the upcoming sessions.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding flat but below the midline, backing the ongoing weakness in the yellow metal.

On the upside, any recovery attempts will need to beat Friday’s high of $1,759, around where the bearish 50-Daily Moving Average (DMA) lurks.

Gold Price: Daily chart

Gold Price: Additional levels to consider

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1737.80
Today Daily Change0.30
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open1737.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA201769.4
Daily SMA501765.76
Daily SMA1001820.16
Daily SMA2001837.39
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1758.94
Previous Daily Low1734.2
Previous Weekly High1765.51
Previous Weekly Low1727.87
Previous Monthly High1814.37
Previous Monthly Low1680.91
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1743.65
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1749.49
Daily Pivot Point S11728.37
Daily Pivot Point S21718.91
Daily Pivot Point S31703.63
Daily Pivot Point R11753.11
Daily Pivot Point R21768.39
Daily Pivot Point R31777.85

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD off highs, back to 1.3620

GBP/USD remains slightly on the defensive at the end of the week, receding to the low 1.3600s after hitting fresh tops past 1.3670 earlier in the day. Cable’s correction comes after two daily gains in a row and amid a tepid advance in the Greenback, while poor UK data also accompany the downside.

EUR/USD treads water below 1.1700

EUR/USD now trades with modest losses around 1.1670 following another unsuccessful atempt to advance past 1.1700 the figure in a convincing fashion. The pair’s decline follows a maginal rebound in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess recent US data as well as developments from the US bond market.

Gold trims gains, recedes to the sub-$4,600 area

Gold rapidly leaves behind Thursday’s inconclusive price action and advances markedly on Friday, briefly surpassing the $4,600 mark per troy ounce to hit three-month peaks. Meanwhile, the precious metal’s solid performance comes despite marginal gains in the buck coupled with another day of rising US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP bulls accelerate rally amid rising ETF inflows

The cryptocurrency market remains bullish on Friday, led by Bitcoin’s surge above $77,000. Altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, mirror BTC’s positive outlook, trading near $2,400 and $1.35, respectively.

Week ahead – Fed’s Jackson Hole and Nvidia earnings to dictate markets

Kevin Warsh to make his Jackson Hole debut amid confusing messaging. But a major hawkish surprise unlikely after bond market intervention. Nvidia earnings to also determine market direction as stock rally cools.

$20 billion offered, $2 billion taken: Why Treasury doubled its buyback cap

The US Treasury moved off its own calendar on Wednesday, and that is the part worth sitting with. At 12:32 GMT, the department said it would at least double the size of liquidity support buyback operations in the 10-year to 20-year and 20-year to 30-year sectors, lifting the maximum from $2 billion per operation to at least $4 billion, effective September 9 and running to November 4.