|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD remains under pressure, hits fresh weekly lows under $1780

  • Gold holds negative tone intact amid higher US yields.
  • The dollar remains strong after economic data from the US.
  • FOMC minutes to be released later on Wednesday ahead of US holiday.

Gold dropped further and printed a fresh two-week low at $1778. It is hovering around $1780 after the release of US economic data, including the Core PCE.

A reversal of a hundred dollars

Gold prices are falling again on Wednesday for the fifth consecutive day. The recovery toward $1800 proved to be short-lived and XAU/USD turned back to the downside. Recently bottomed at $1778, a hundred dollar below last week’s top.

US economic data released on Wednesday came in from mixed to upbeat. Personal Income and Spending rose more than expected in October, initial jobless claims dropped to the lowest since 1969 and consumer sentiment rebounded modestly. On the negative front, Q3 GDP data was revised from 2.2% to 2.1%; Durable Goods Orders fell 0.5%, and New Home Sales rose to 745K (annual rate) below the 800K expected.

US yields remained near weekly highs after the numbers supporting the US dollar in the market and keeping XAU/USD under pressure. At 19:00 GMT the Federal Reserve will released the minutes of its latest meeting.

Short-term outlook

The negative outlook remains intact, particularly with prices breaking and consolidating below every support it recently broke. XAU/USD is back under key moving averages (20, 55, 100 and 200 days). Under $1780, the next support stands at $1770, before the November low at $1758. On the upside, a consolation above $1795, should provide more support for a recovery in prices, that should be seen as a corrective move.

Gold looks set to decline further as no signs of consolidation are seen yet. Although after falling during five consecutive days, technical indicators are showing extreme oversold readings.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1783.63
Today Daily Change-6.69
Today Daily Change %-0.37
Today daily open1790.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA201823.08
Daily SMA501789.22
Daily SMA1001793.82
Daily SMA2001791.81
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1812.48
Previous Daily Low1782.05
Previous Weekly High1877.23
Previous Weekly Low1843.04
Previous Monthly High1813.82
Previous Monthly Low1746.07
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1793.67
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1800.86
Daily Pivot Point S11777.42
Daily Pivot Point S21764.52
Daily Pivot Point S31746.99
Daily Pivot Point R11807.85
Daily Pivot Point R21825.38
Daily Pivot Point R31838.28

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.