|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD prints fresh one-year highs above $2,030 after US ADP

  • Gold price rose to $2,031/oz, new one-year high.
  • US March ADP report came in below expectations, attention turns to ISM Service PMI.
  • US yields and DXY turn lower after data.

Gold price printed fresh one-year highs at $2,031 after the release of US employment data. The yellow metal then pulled back modestly, and ahead of more economic reports, it is hovering around $2,020.

US data weighs on yields, boosts Gold

Automatic Data Processing (ADP) released it employment report showing that in March the private sector added 145,000 jobs, below market consensus of 200,000. February’s figures were revised higher from 242,000 to 261,000.

After the report, US yields printed fresh weekly lows and the US Dollar weakened. The numbers still show a healthy labor market, but slowing down. More data from the US is due on Wednesday with March ISM Service PMI.

Indicators remain bullish for Gold. A break above $2,030 would favor a test of the all-time high around $2,075. On the downside, the immediate support stands at $2,015 followed by $2,000.

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2026.35
Today Daily Change5.95
Today Daily Change %0.29
Today daily open2020.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA201943.47
Daily SMA501895.78
Daily SMA1001857.33
Daily SMA2001785.72
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2025.08
Previous Daily Low1977.03
Previous Weekly High1987.7
Previous Weekly Low1944.08
Previous Monthly High2009.88
Previous Monthly Low1809.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2006.72
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1995.39
Daily Pivot Point S11989.93
Daily Pivot Point S21959.45
Daily Pivot Point S31941.88
Daily Pivot Point R12037.98
Daily Pivot Point R22055.55
Daily Pivot Point R32086.03

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hovers around daily lows near 1.3450

GBP/USD trades with decent losses on Thursday, revisiting the 1.3450 zone. Cable’s resumption of the selling interest comes after two daily advances in a row and follows the improved sentiment around the Greenback amid fresh concerns in the Middle East.

EUR/USD weakens amid Middle East tensions

EUR/USD extends its losses for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.1520 during the Asian hours. The currency pair faces downward pressure as the US Dollar gains strength, propelled by renewed safe-haven demand among global investors.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

US Dollar: NFP and inflation mix complicate Fed path
BNY strategists John Velis and David Tam highlight the July Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases as key inputs for the Fed. They see consensus around 80,000 jobs, with a breakeven near 50,000 to keep unemployment steady. A weaker print could lower 2-year yields and rate-hike expectations.
Markets question Fed's inflation resolve after July FOMC meeting
Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh continues to project a tough stance on inflation, repeatedly promising to restore price stability and keep inflation anchored at the central bank's longstanding 2% target. But according to Mike Maharrey in this week's Money Metals Midweek Memo, markets are beginning to judge the Fed by its actions rather than its rhetoric—and so far, they aren't convinced.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.