|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD oscillates around $1,840 as DXY tumbles, risk-off impulse favors

  • Gold price is forming a Bullish Flag pattern that shouts further upside.
  • Risk-off impulse has underpinned the bright metal despite the DXY.
  • The lack of economic catalysts this week advocated risk sentiment to dictate the gold prices.

Gold price (XAU/USD) is consolidating below $1,850.00 in a minor range of $1,840.02-1,844.08 in the early Asian session. The precious metal has delivered a perpendicular upside move on Thursday from a low near $1,800.00 as the risk-off impulse favors the precious metal rather than underpinning the greenback.

A significant plunge in the US dollar index (DXY) despite heightened negative market sentiment in the FX domain has supported the gold prices. The DXY has surrendered more than 2.20% gains after printing a 19-year high of 105.00 last week. It worth be worth stating that extremely overbought oscillators have resulted in a meaningful correction in the asset as the solid fundamentals are still intact amid expectations of policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The movement in the gold prices has remained dependent on the sentiment amid a lack of important economic events this week. However, the comments from Philadelphia Fed Bank President Patrick Harker brought some loud moves in the bright metal. The Fed policymaker advocated two more 50 basis points (bps) interest rate hikes in June and July, which should be followed by the old tradition of the 25 bps rate hike spell.

Gold technical analysis

The gold prices are forming a Bullish Flag chart pattern that signals a continuation of bullish momentum after a consolidation phase. This consolidation phase denotes an inventory distribution that forces an intensive buying interest from the market participants. The 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,827.68 is scaling higher, which adds to the upside filters. Adding to that, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into a bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which signals significant gains ahead.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1842.04
Today Daily Change25.48
Today Daily Change %1.40
Today daily open1816.56
 
Trends
Daily SMA201868.57
Daily SMA501915.59
Daily SMA1001883.89
Daily SMA2001837.19
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1824.75
Previous Daily Low1807.3
Previous Weekly High1885.82
Previous Weekly Low1799.19
Previous Monthly High1998.43
Previous Monthly Low1872.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1818.08
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1813.97
Daily Pivot Point S11807.66
Daily Pivot Point S21798.75
Daily Pivot Point S31790.21
Daily Pivot Point R11825.11
Daily Pivot Point R21833.65
Daily Pivot Point R31842.56

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold: Bullish momentum fades despite broad USD weakness

After rising more than 3.5% in the previous week, Gold has entered a consolidation phase and fluctuated at around $4,200. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and revised Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot, could trigger the next directional move in XAU/USD. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.