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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD kisses $1,880 after a sheer recovery amid softer US yields

  • Gold price has touched $1,880.00 amid a recovery in the risk-on market mood.
  • Softer US yields are weighing on the USD Index despite hawkish Fed bets.
  • Gold price is auctioning in a re-distribution episode in Wyckoff’s markdown phase.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has refreshed its day’s high above $1,880.00 in the Asian session. The gold price has shown a vertical upside move after rebounding from $1,872.00 as the risk appetite of the market participants has improved. The precious metal is expected to extend its upside move above $1,880.00 confidently as softer US Treasury yields have eased the risk-off impulse.

The yields earned on 10-year US Treasury bonds have dropped to near 3.61%. S&P500 futures have shown a recovery in the Asian session after a sell-off on Wednesday. The context that the Federal Reserve (Fed) won’t be aggressive ahead while hiking interest rates is supporting the 500-US stocks basket.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is struggling to sustain above 103.00 despite the street having started anticipating an interest rate peak by the Fed above 5%.

Jamie Dimon, CEO of JPMorgan Chase & Co., cautioned against declaring victory against inflation too early, warning the Fed could raise interest rates above the 5% mark if higher prices ended up "sticky," reported Reuters. He further added that Fed chair Jerome Powell must go beyond 5% if inflation doesn’t come down to 3.5-4.00%.

Gold technical analysis

Gold price is delivering a sideways performance on a broader note amid the Inverted Flag formation, which indicates a Wyckoff’s re-distribution in a Markdown phase. Usually, the re-distribution part of the markdown phase serves as an inventory adjustment in which those participants initiate shorts, which prefer to enter an auction after the establishment of a bearish bias.

The 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,884.35 will act as a major barricade for the Gold bulls.

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is oscillating in a 40.00-60.00 range, which indicates an absence of a potential trigger.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1879.01
Today Daily Change3.69
Today Daily Change %0.20
Today daily open1875.32
 
Trends
Daily SMA201913.77
Daily SMA501853.15
Daily SMA1001772.46
Daily SMA2001775.99
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1886.48
Previous Daily Low1867.45
Previous Weekly High1959.8
Previous Weekly Low1861.45
Previous Monthly High1949.27
Previous Monthly Low1823.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1879.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1874.72
Daily Pivot Point S11866.35
Daily Pivot Point S21857.39
Daily Pivot Point S31847.32
Daily Pivot Point R11885.38
Daily Pivot Point R21895.45
Daily Pivot Point R31904.41

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
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