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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD jumps toward $2,050 after US CPI

  • US Consumer Price Index rises 0.4% in April, matching market consensus. 
  • US Dollar Index tumbles after the report as US yields decline. 
  • XAU/USD jumps to highest since Friday, looking at $2,050. 

Gold Price jumped following the release of US consumer inflation and the US Dollar dropped sharply across the board. XAU/USD rose from $2,030/oz to $2,045, reaching the highest level since Friday. Silver also soared, approaching $26.00. 

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed inflation rate was 0.4% in April, in line with expectations, and 4.9% YoY, slightly below the 5% of market consensus. The Core CPI rose 0.4% and the annual rate edged lower from 5.6% to 5.5%, both matching market consensus. 

Following the numbers, the US Dollar Index turned negative, falling under 101.50. US Treasury bond yields also collapsed, with the 10-year falling to 3.45% from 3.50% and the 2-year to 3.94%. 

XAU/USD is trading near the highs, looking at the $2,050 area, boosted by the weaker Dollar and also lower US yields. Above $2,050, attention would turn to the record highs in the $2,075/80 area. The immediate resistance now stands at $2,035. 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2028.73
Today Daily Change-5.68
Today Daily Change %-0.28
Today daily open2034.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA202007.82
Daily SMA501961.31
Daily SMA1001913.63
Daily SMA2001817.25
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2037.65
Previous Daily Low2019.62
Previous Weekly High2079.76
Previous Weekly Low1977.12
Previous Monthly High2048.75
Previous Monthly Low1949.83
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%2030.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%2026.51
Daily Pivot Point S12023.47
Daily Pivot Point S22012.53
Daily Pivot Point S32005.44
Daily Pivot Point R12041.5
Daily Pivot Point R22048.59
Daily Pivot Point R32059.53

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.