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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds ground above $1,930, central banks decisions eyed

  • Gold price maintains a position above $1,930 to extend gains ahead of policy decisions from major central banks.
  • US Dollar (USD) weakens on the possibility of no interest rate hike by the Fed in September; bolstering the prices of Gold.
  • Fed is expected to attempt a 25 basis points interest rate hike through the end of the year 2023.

Gold price holds ground to continue the winning streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $1,930 during the early trading hours of the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair is facing upward support ahead of the interest rate decisions from the major central banks.

The retracement of the US Dollar (USD) is a significant factor bolstering the price of Gold. The market participants turn cautious following the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting scheduled for Wednesday. Investors will closely analyze the central bank's statements, looking for any indications or information regarding potential future interest rate movements.

The markets are factoring in a 25 basis point rate hike by the end of 2023. Additionally, the resilience of recent economic data from the US is bolstering the possibility that the Fed may keep interest rates higher for a prolonged period, which could put a cap on the potential of the yellow metal.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which assesses the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six other major currencies, struggles to hold ground at around 105.10 at the time of writing. The US Treasury yields look to extend the losses registered on Monday. The yield on the US 10-year bond has declined to 4.30% by the press time. The downbeat yields are undermining the strength of the Greenback.

Following a similar path as the European Central Bank (ECB) last week, the Bank of England (BoE) is anticipated to implement a cautious 25 basis point interest rate increase in the meeting on Thursday, with a focus on the potential risks associated with stagflation.

Meanwhile, market participants are pricing in the likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to maintain its highly accommodative monetary policy stance.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1932.82
Today Daily Change-1.00
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1933.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA201922.88
Daily SMA501932
Daily SMA1001946.42
Daily SMA2001922.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1934.32
Previous Daily Low1922.62
Previous Weekly High1930.77
Previous Weekly Low1901.07
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1929.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1927.09
Daily Pivot Point S11926.19
Daily Pivot Point S21918.55
Daily Pivot Point S31914.49
Daily Pivot Point R11937.89
Daily Pivot Point R21941.95
Daily Pivot Point R31949.59

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

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