|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds ground above $1,930, central banks decisions eyed

  • Gold price maintains a position above $1,930 to extend gains ahead of policy decisions from major central banks.
  • US Dollar (USD) weakens on the possibility of no interest rate hike by the Fed in September; bolstering the prices of Gold.
  • Fed is expected to attempt a 25 basis points interest rate hike through the end of the year 2023.

Gold price holds ground to continue the winning streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $1,930 during the early trading hours of the Asian session on Tuesday. The pair is facing upward support ahead of the interest rate decisions from the major central banks.

The retracement of the US Dollar (USD) is a significant factor bolstering the price of Gold. The market participants turn cautious following the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep interest rates unchanged in the upcoming meeting scheduled for Wednesday. Investors will closely analyze the central bank's statements, looking for any indications or information regarding potential future interest rate movements.

The markets are factoring in a 25 basis point rate hike by the end of 2023. Additionally, the resilience of recent economic data from the US is bolstering the possibility that the Fed may keep interest rates higher for a prolonged period, which could put a cap on the potential of the yellow metal.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which assesses the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six other major currencies, struggles to hold ground at around 105.10 at the time of writing. The US Treasury yields look to extend the losses registered on Monday. The yield on the US 10-year bond has declined to 4.30% by the press time. The downbeat yields are undermining the strength of the Greenback.

Following a similar path as the European Central Bank (ECB) last week, the Bank of England (BoE) is anticipated to implement a cautious 25 basis point interest rate increase in the meeting on Thursday, with a focus on the potential risks associated with stagflation.

Meanwhile, market participants are pricing in the likelihood that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to maintain its highly accommodative monetary policy stance.

XAU/USD: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1932.82
Today Daily Change-1.00
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open1933.82
 
Trends
Daily SMA201922.88
Daily SMA501932
Daily SMA1001946.42
Daily SMA2001922.91
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1934.32
Previous Daily Low1922.62
Previous Weekly High1930.77
Previous Weekly Low1901.07
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1929.85
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1927.09
Daily Pivot Point S11926.19
Daily Pivot Point S21918.55
Daily Pivot Point S31914.49
Daily Pivot Point R11937.89
Daily Pivot Point R21941.95
Daily Pivot Point R31949.59

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).