Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds below $2,030 ahead of the PBoC rate decision


  • Gold price loses ground near $2,027 on robust US data.
  • US University of Michigan consumer sentiment rose to its highest since July 2021, coming in at 78.8 in January vs. 69.7 prior.
  • Investors await the People’s Bank of China interest rate decision on Monday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) drifts lower to $2,027 during the early Asian session on Monday. The robust US economic data have triggered the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might delay interest rate cuts, which boost the US Dollar (USD). The key support level of yellow metal is seen at the $2,000 psychological mark. The US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (Core PCE) for December on Friday might trigger volatility in the market.

US consumer sentiment improved in January, hitting the highest level since July 2021. The University of Michigan's preliminary reading on the consumer sentiment index arrived at 78.8 in January versus 69.7 in December, better than the market expectation of 70.0.

On Friday, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly stated that the central bank has a lot of work left to do on bringing inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target and that it’s premature to think about interest rate cuts. Nonetheless, two key events this week might determine at least which way central bank policymakers could lean on policy. The US GDP growth numbers will be due on Thursday, and the Core PCE will be released on Friday. The weaker US data is likely to convince the Fed to tilt toward the dovish side and cap the downside of the gold price.

The People’s Bank of China is expected to leave the benchmark one- and five-year loan prime rates (LPR) unchanged at 3.45% and 4.20%, respectively. Bearish sentiment toward China has intensified as the latest economic data indicates that the world's second-biggest economy continues in a slump. Any negative development surrounding Chinese economy could drag the gold price lower, as China is one of the world's largest gold consumers. 

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2027.72
Today Daily Change -0.68
Today Daily Change % -0.03
Today daily open 2028.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 2043.59
Daily SMA50 2024.21
Daily SMA100 1973.68
Daily SMA200 1963.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2039.5
Previous Daily Low 2020.47
Previous Weekly High 2058.67
Previous Weekly Low 2001.9
Previous Monthly High 2144.48
Previous Monthly Low 1973.13
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2032.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2027.74
Daily Pivot Point S1 2019.41
Daily Pivot Point S2 2010.43
Daily Pivot Point S3 2000.38
Daily Pivot Point R1 2038.44
Daily Pivot Point R2 2048.49
Daily Pivot Point R3 2057.47

 










 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD holds near 1.1100, looks to post small weekly gains

EUR/USD holds near 1.1100, looks to post small weekly gains

EUR/USD trades near 1.1100 in the American session on Friday. Although the risk-averse market atmosphere caps the pair's upside, dovish comments from Fed officials and the disappointing US jobs report help it hold its ground.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD retreats to 1.3150 area after post-NFP spike

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3150 area after post-NFP spike

GBP/USD turns south and declines to 1.3150 area after spiking to 1.3240 in the early American session. The negative shift seen in risk mood following the US labor market data for August helps the US Dollar stay resilient against its peers and weighs on the pair.

GBP/USD News
Gold pulls away from near record highs, holds above $2,500

Gold pulls away from near record highs, holds above $2,500

Gold came within a touching distance of a new all-time high near $2,530 as US Treasury bond yields turned south on disappointing US jobs data. The US Dollar's resilience amid a souring risk mood, however, caused XAU/USD to erase its daily gains.

Gold News
Crypto today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP tests key support, TRON network non-stablecoin activity hits new highs

Crypto today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP tests key support, TRON network non-stablecoin activity hits new highs

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP hover around key support levels after registering a steep correction earlier this week. TRON network’s stablecoin activity hit new highs following the release of SunPump.

Read more
Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest hiring rebound in August after July’s tepid report

Nonfarm Payrolls expected to show modest hiring rebound in August after July’s tepid report

The Nonfarm Payrolls report is forecast to show that the US economy added 160,000 jobs in August, after creating 114,000 in July. The Unemployment Rate is likely to dip to 4.2% in the same period from July’s 4.3% reading. 

Read more
Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

Moneta Markets review 2024: All you need to know

VERIFIED In this review, the FXStreet team provides an independent and thorough analysis based on direct testing and real experiences with Moneta Markets – an excellent broker for novice to intermediate forex traders who want to broaden their knowledge base.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures