Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds above $2,000, eyes on Chinese Trade Data, US Jobless Claims data


  • Gold price holds positive ground near $2,025 amid lower US Treasury yields.
  • The November ADP private payrolls climbed 103,000 vs. 106,000 prior, weaker than market expectations.
  • A pessimistic China's economic prospects could weigh on commodity sentiment and gold price.
  • Traders await the Chinese Trade Data, US weekly Jobless Claims, due later on Thursday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) manages to hold above the $2,000 psychological support level during the early Asian session on Thursday. The anticipation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut the interest rate in March 2024 lends some support to the yellow metal. At press time, gold price is trading at $2,025, losing 0.03% on the day.

Meanwhile, the gauge of the value of the USD against a weighted basket of currencies used by US trade partners, trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day, climbing above 104.15. However, the US Treasury yields edge lower, with the 10-year yield dropping from 4.20% to 4.11%.

Data released on Wednesday revealed that the November ADP private payrolls climbed 103,000 from the previous reading of 106,000, weaker than the market expectation of 130,000. The ADP report follows Tuesday’s release of the JOLTS job openings number for October from the Labor Department which showed the figure at its lowest level since March 2021, dropping to 8.73 million from a downwardly revised 9.35 million in September.

Furthermore, Moody’s downgraded its outlook on China’s government credit ratings to negative from stable on Tuesday. That being said, a pessimistic China's economic prospects weigh on the commodity sentiment and create headwinds for the gold price as China is the world’s major gold consumer.

Gold traders will keep an eye on the Chinese Trade Data and the US weekly Jobless Claims data, which is expected to gain 222,000. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US employment data, including the Nonfarm Payroll (NFP), Unemployment Rate, and Average Hourly Earnings. Traders will take cues from these figures and find the trading opportunity around the gold price.

 

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price 2026.62
Today Daily Change 7.40
Today Daily Change % 0.37
Today daily open 2019.22
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1994.49
Daily SMA50 1950.95
Daily SMA100 1939.32
Daily SMA200 1948.01
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 2041.26
Previous Daily Low 2009.93
Previous Weekly High 2075.43
Previous Weekly Low 2000.65
Previous Monthly High 2052.03
Previous Monthly Low 1931.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 2021.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 2029.29
Daily Pivot Point S1 2005.68
Daily Pivot Point S2 1992.14
Daily Pivot Point S3 1974.35
Daily Pivot Point R1 2037.01
Daily Pivot Point R2 2054.8
Daily Pivot Point R3 2068.34

 

 

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