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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hits levels above $1850 for the first time in two months and retreats

  • Metals and US stocks remain volatile amid concerns across markets.
  • XAU/USD rises $10 in a few minutes and then erases gains.
  • Positive outlook for gold while above $1830.

A quick drop in US yields boosted XAU/USD that jumped from $1840 to $1853, reaching the highest level since November 19. It then pulled back all the way to $1840 and now is approaching the $1850 area again.

Prices remain volatile in metals, stocks and bonds. The spike in gold took place amid a quick decline in US yields and after US stocks trimmed losses. The Dow Jones is falling 1.08% and the Nasdaq 2.37%, both indices off lows.

Market participants await the outcome of the FOMC meeting. On Wednesday, the central bank is expected to give clear signals of a March rate hike.

Short-term outlook

Volatility across financial markets is also affecting gold that can jump and then reverse sharply in a few minutes. The outlook for gold remains biased to the upside while above $1830. A side below would clear the way for to a test of the 20-day simple moving average at $1820.

A consolidation above $1850 would be a positive development pointing to more gain with a target at the next resistance zone at $1865/70.  

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1843.73
Today Daily Change2.11
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open1841.62
 
Trends
Daily SMA201817.23
Daily SMA501805.36
Daily SMA1001794.72
Daily SMA2001805.07
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1844.37
Previous Daily Low1829.76
Previous Weekly High1847.95
Previous Weekly Low1805.84
Previous Monthly High1830.39
Previous Monthly Low1753.01
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1838.79
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1835.34
Daily Pivot Point S11832.8
Daily Pivot Point S21823.97
Daily Pivot Point S31818.19
Daily Pivot Point R11847.41
Daily Pivot Point R21853.19
Daily Pivot Point R31862.02

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

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The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.