|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD gains traction below $2,000, US housing data eyed

  • Gold price gains momentum around $1,982 on the lower US Treasury bond yields.
  • The markets have priced in the end of the tightening cycle and expect a rate cut in the middle of 2024.
  • Gold traders will focus on the US housing data on Friday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its rally during the early Asian trading session on Friday. The uptick of the precious metal is bolstered by the fall in US Treasury bond yields. As of writing, the gold price is trading near $1,982, up 0.06% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the USD measured against a basket of six world currencies, consolidates around 104.40. The US Treasury bond yields edge lower, with the 10-year yields standing at 4.44%.

The markets have priced in the end of the tightening cycle and expect a rate cut in the middle of 2024, which exerts some selling pressure on the US Dollar (USD) and boosts gold prices. The weekly US Initial Claims rose by 231,000, the highest level in nearly three months. While continuing jobless claims increased to their highest level since 2022, rising 1.865 million from 1.883 million in the previous reading. The US Industrial Production dropped 0.6% m/m in October from a 0.1% rise in the previous month, below the market consensus.

On Wednesday, US President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping agreed to restore military-to-military interactions and collaborate on efforts to curb fentanyl production. That being said, the renewed tension between the US-China, the world’s largest economy, could lift the yellow metal further.

Moving on, the US Building Permit and Housing Start will be due on Friday. The Housing Starts are estimated to drop from 1.358 million to 1.35 million, while the Building Permits are forecast to drop from 1.471 million to 1.45 million. Traders will also take cues from the figures and find a trading opportunity around the gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1982.62
Today Daily Change1.71
Today Daily Change %0.09
Today daily open1980.91
 
Trends
Daily SMA201973.82
Daily SMA501926.15
Daily SMA1001929.19
Daily SMA2001936.55
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1988.02
Previous Daily Low1956.56
Previous Weekly High1993.18
Previous Weekly Low1933.04
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1976
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1968.58
Daily Pivot Point S11962.31
Daily Pivot Point S21943.7
Daily Pivot Point S31930.85
Daily Pivot Point R11993.77
Daily Pivot Point R22006.62
Daily Pivot Point R32025.23

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1750 on first trading day of 2026

EUR/USD stays calm on Friday and trades in a narrow channel at around 1.1750 as trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend. The economic calendar will not feature any high-impact data releases.

GBP/USD struggles to gain traction, stabilizes above 1.3450

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and moves sideways above 1.3450 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold climbs toward $4,400 following deep correction

Gold reverses its direction and advances toward $4,400 after suffering heavy losses amid profit-taking before the New Year holiday. Growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy and persistent geopolitical risks seem to be helping XAU/USD stretch higher.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).