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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD gains traction above the $1,920 mark ahead of the Fed rate decision

  • Gold price gains momentum around $1,925 on Monday amid the cautious mood.
  • Markets anticipate the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold interest rates steady at its September policy meeting.
  • The upbeat Chinese economic data boosts gold prices, adding to signals that the nation’s economy's contraction has peaked.
  • Market players will closely watch the Federal Reserve (Fed) Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday.

Gold price (XAU/USD) trades in positive territory for the third consecutive day during the early Asian session on Monday. China's stimulus measure and stronger-than-expected economic data last week add to signals that the world's second-biggest economy's contraction has peaked, which benefits the precious metal. Gold price currently trades around $1,924, gaining 0.02% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) hovers around 105.20 after retreating from a nine-month high of 105.40. While, the US Treasury yields edge higher with the 10-year US bond staying near 4.30% by the press time. However, the potential of a significant corrective move in the US dollar (USD) might be limited, owing to the cautious mood in the market ahead of the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on Wednesday.

The market expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold interest rates steady at its September policy meeting while keeping one more rate hike on the table. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will later hold a press conference with no major changes expected from the Fed. However, a dovish stance from official might trigger a decline in the US Dollar (USD) and acts as a tailwind for the gold price.

Furthermore, the upbeat Chinese economic data boosts gold prices as China is the major Gold consumer in the world. The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) revealed on Friday, that Chinese Retail Sales for August improved 4.6% YoY compared to the previous reading of 2.5%, exceeding market expectations. In the meantime, the nation's Industrial Production rose to 4.5% in August from 3.7% in July, above market expectations of 3.9%.

Looking ahead, market participants will focus on the Fed Interest Rate Decision on Wednesday. Also, the preliminary S&P Global PMI data for September will be released on Friday. These events could give a clear direction to the gold price.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1926.36
Today Daily Change2.36
Today Daily Change %0.12
Today daily open1924
 
Trends
Daily SMA201920.94
Daily SMA501931.83
Daily SMA1001946.91
Daily SMA2001922.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1930.47
Previous Daily Low1909.83
Previous Weekly High1930.77
Previous Weekly Low1901.07
Previous Monthly High1966.08
Previous Monthly Low1884.85
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1922.59
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1917.71
Daily Pivot Point S11912.4
Daily Pivot Point S21900.79
Daily Pivot Point S31891.76
Daily Pivot Point R11933.04
Daily Pivot Point R21942.07
Daily Pivot Point R31953.68

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
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