|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD enters a bearish consolidative phase, FOMC Minutes awaited

Gold price is attempting a temporary recovery above the $1,830 mark. But XAU/USD remains exposed to downside risks, FXStreet’s Dhwani Mehta reports.

How will XAU/USD react to the Federal Reserve Minutes?

“The Gold price reaction to the Fed Minutes could be limited, as traders could see it as outdated and choose to pay more attention to Friday’s United States Core PCE inflation – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.”

“The critical horizontal trendline support from the January 5 low at $1,825 could hold the fort, as Gold sellers are seen threatening the $1,830 round figure. The next target for Gold bears is envisioned at Friday’s low of $1,819 on a sustained selling momentum.”

“Gold buyers need to find acceptance above the $1,850 psychological level on the road to recovery, above which a new run-up toward the flattish 50-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at $1,864 cannot be ruled out. Fresh buying opportunities will likely emerge above Valentine’s Day high at $1,870.”

See – Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to shrug off Fed Minutes – Commerzbank

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges above 1.1750 due to ECB-Fed policy divergence

EUR/USD has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Friday. Traders will likely observe Germany’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index data later in the day.

GBP/USD gathers strength above 1.3450 on Fed rate cut bets, BoE's gradual policy path

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength to around 1.3480 during the early Asian session on Friday. Expectations of the US Federal Reserve rate cuts this year weigh on the US Dollar against the Pound Sterling. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson is set to speak later on the weekend. 

Gold climbs to near $4,350 on Fed rate cut bets, geopolitical risks

Gold price rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. Gold finished 2025 with a significant rally, achieving an annual gain of around 65%, its biggest annual gain since 1979. The rally of the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026 and safe-haven flows.

Bitcoin trades in compression as 2026 begins with structure still unresolved

BTC/USD remains locked in a two-way structure, with micro supply-and-demand levels guiding early-year price behaviour.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).