|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs above $2,000 on the weaker Dollar, focus on the US GDP, PCE data

  • Gold price hovers around the $2,000 psychological mark on the USD weakness.
  • The private sector in the US continued to grow at a slower pace in early November.
  • US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation figures will be in the spotlight this week.

Gold price (XAU/USD) holds above $2,000 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. Yellow metal's rally is fueled by expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) would not raise the interest rate further. At press time, the gold price is trading near $2,001, losing 0.04% on the day.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the USD measured against a basket of six world currencies, declined to the lowest level since September at 103.40. That being said, a weaker USD boosts USD-denominated gold.

The private sector in the US continued to grow at a slower pace in early November. The S&P Global Composite PMI remained unchanged at 50.7. In the same period, the Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.4 from 50.0, worse than the expectation of 49.8. The Services PMI improved modestly to 50.8 from the previous reading of 50.6, above the consensus of 50.4.

The market believes that the Fed will deliver a less hawkish stance and place a bet that it will cut interest rates in the middle of next year, which is weakening the US Dollar.

Later this week, gold traders will keep an eye on the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Wednesday and Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation figures on Thursday. The Annualized US quarterly GDP is expected to expand from 4.9% to 5.0% while US PCE for October is estimated to drop from 0.4% to 0.1%.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price2002.24
Today Daily Change-0.11
Today Daily Change %-0.01
Today daily open2002.35
 
Trends
Daily SMA201976.13
Daily SMA501935.04
Daily SMA1001933.44
Daily SMA2001940.71
 
Levels
Previous Daily High2003.64
Previous Daily Low1991.53
Previous Weekly High2007.63
Previous Weekly Low1965.51
Previous Monthly High2009.49
Previous Monthly Low1810.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1999.01
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1996.16
Daily Pivot Point S11994.71
Daily Pivot Point S21987.06
Daily Pivot Point S31982.6
Daily Pivot Point R12006.82
Daily Pivot Point R22011.28
Daily Pivot Point R32018.93

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD bulls seem hesitant as Hormuz ship attack supports safe-haven USD

The GBP/USD pair sticks to a positive bias for the second straight day, albeit it remains below the previous day's swing high and trades just below the 1.3200 mark during the Asian session on Friday. Furthermore, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution before positioning for any meaningful recovery from November 2025 lows, around the 1.3140 region, touched on Wednesday.

EUR/USD holds above mid-1.1300s amid Hormuz risks, bearish setup

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest recovery gains and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, hold above mid-1.1300s and the lowest level since May 2025, set on Thursday, warranting some caution for bearish traders.

Gold recovers early lost ground; bearish bias remains amid Fed hike bets

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce from the $3,983-$3982 region, and climbs to the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. The US Dollar remains depressed below its highest level since May 2025 set on Thursday, amid receding Federal Reserve rate-hike bets. This is seen as a key factor lending some support to the commodity.

Ripple price clings to $1 as long liquidations deepen bearish trend

Ripple (XRP) trades near the key psychological support level of $1 after losing more than 8% so far this week. CoinGlass liquidation data shows that over 97% XRP long positions were wiped out over the past 24 hours. In addition, derivatives metrics continue to favor the bears.

Asian stock markets plummet as Apple price hike raises inflation concerns, KOSPI dives over 8%
Asian equity markets on Friday are significantly down as price hikes announced by Apple Inc. due to memory chip shortages have prompted fears of high inflation globally and concerns on earning projections of various companies that rely on these sophisticated chips for their final products.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.