|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls target $1,735 as focus shifts to US NFP – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is back on the bids amid a subdued US dollar alongside yields.
  • Investors assess mixed US data and the Fed rate hike bets amid a better mood.
  •  XAU/USD bulls keep their sight on the $1,735 barrier ahead of US NFP.

Gold price is finding fresh demand in Thursday’s trading so far, reverting towards three-week highs amid a broadly subdued US dollar and lackluster performance in the Treasury yields. Markets are in a risk-on mood, implying that they are ignoring the impact of surging oil prices while cheering hopes for not-so-aggressive Fed, especially after the US ISM Services Price Paid component softened more than expected in September. However, the US ADP employment data outpaced expectations of 200K, arriving at 208K in the reported month. All eyes now remain focused on Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls release for a fresh direction in the dollar, as well as, in the yellow metal.  

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: Bulls not ready to give up

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is yearning for acceptance above the convergence of the SMA50 one-day and pivot point one-month R1 at $1,724.

The previous day’s high of $1,728 will test bulls’ immediate upside, above which the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,730 needs to be cleared to kickstart a fresh rally towards the previous month’s high of $1,735.

On the flip side, bulls will draw support from the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,718, below which sellers will target the previous low four-hour at $1,715.

The confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and pivot point one-week R2 at $1,712 will be a tough nut to crack for XAU bears.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD trims gains; back to 1.3450-ish

The persistent weakness hurting the Greenback lends support to the British Pound and the rest of the risk-linked assets, sending GBP/USD to new two-day tops past 1.3480 on Wednesday. Indeed, Cable advances for the second day in a row helped by the constant optimism around a potential US-Iran deal.

EUR/USD hovers around two-month peaks near 1.1560

EUR/USD advances for the second day in a row, challenging multi-week highs in the 1.1560 zone on Wednesday. The persistent weakness hitting the US Dollar underpins the move higher in spot while market participants continue to closely follow developments from the Middle East and gear up for upcoming key data releases in the US jobs market. On Thursday, all the attention will be on the release of weekly Claims alongside Challenger Job Cuts.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

Ethereum: BitMine extends share buyback spree, scoops over 10K ETH

Ethereum treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies continued its share buyback spree last week after repurchasing 4.5 million shares of its common stock. This purchase brings the total stock buyback since July 1 to 16.1 million shares, part of a previously authorized $4 billion repurchase plan.

Taking out the lines in the sand
Good Day... And a Wonderful Wednesday to you! Well, just as I suspected, my beloved Cardinals' bats went silent last night in the Bronx, and they lost 0-2... The Yankees' bats were exactly a murderer's row, but they hit 2 homers and won. I said yesterday that the song : Just Once In My Life, could be the Cardinals' song after hitting 5 home runs the previous night!
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.