|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD bulls target $1,735 as focus shifts to US NFP – Confluence Detector

  • Gold price is back on the bids amid a subdued US dollar alongside yields.
  • Investors assess mixed US data and the Fed rate hike bets amid a better mood.
  •  XAU/USD bulls keep their sight on the $1,735 barrier ahead of US NFP.

Gold price is finding fresh demand in Thursday’s trading so far, reverting towards three-week highs amid a broadly subdued US dollar and lackluster performance in the Treasury yields. Markets are in a risk-on mood, implying that they are ignoring the impact of surging oil prices while cheering hopes for not-so-aggressive Fed, especially after the US ISM Services Price Paid component softened more than expected in September. However, the US ADP employment data outpaced expectations of 200K, arriving at 208K in the reported month. All eyes now remain focused on Friday’s US Nonfarm Payrolls release for a fresh direction in the dollar, as well as, in the yellow metal.  

Also read: Gold Price Forecast: Bulls not ready to give up

Gold Price: Key levels to watch

The Technical Confluence Detector shows that the gold price is yearning for acceptance above the convergence of the SMA50 one-day and pivot point one-month R1 at $1,724.

The previous day’s high of $1,728 will test bulls’ immediate upside, above which the pivot point one-day R1 at $1,730 needs to be cleared to kickstart a fresh rally towards the previous month’s high of $1,735.

On the flip side, bulls will draw support from the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day at $1,718, below which sellers will target the previous low four-hour at $1,715.

The confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and pivot point one-week R2 at $1,712 will be a tough nut to crack for XAU bears.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Technical Confluences Detector

The TCD (Technical Confluences Detector) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc.  If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points at a time. If you are a medium-to-long-term trader, this tool will allow you to know in advance the price levels where a medium-to-long-term trend may stop and rest, where to unwind positions, or where to increase your position size.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays bid above 1.1700 as risk flows dominate

EUR/USD posts small gains above 1.1700 in early European trading hours on Monday. The US Dollar remains broadly subdued amid a risk-on market profile, underpinning the pair. 

GBP/USD clings to recovery gains near 1.3400

GBP/USD is clinging to recovery gains near 1.3400 in early Europe on Monday. The pair capitalizes on an upbeat market mood and a steady US Dollar as traders digest the recent

 monetary policy decisions by the Fed and the BoE.

Gold hits fresh record highs above $4,400 amid renewed geopolitical woes

Gold is hitting fresh record highs above $4,400 early Monday, helped by renewed geopolitical tensions. Israel-Iran conflict and US-Venezuela headlines drive investors toward the traditional store of value, Gold. 

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple eye breakout for fresh recovery

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are approaching key technical levels at the time of writing on Monday as the broader crypto market stabilizes. Market participants are closely watching whether BTC, ETH, and XRP can sustain breakouts and achieve decisive daily closes above nearby resistance levels, which could signal the start of a short-term recovery.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

Hyperliquid price forecast: Bullish interest builds amid user recovery

Hyperliquid (HYPE) trades at $25 at press time on Monday, holding the 3% gains from the previous day. The perpetual exchange sees a recovery in active users, while weekly fees collected decline to the lowest level so far this month.