|

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD aims to recapture $1,700 as DXY turns subdued, Fed policy in focus

  • Gold prices are advancing towards $1,700.00 amid a subdued DXY on the US warning to China.
  • US President Joe Biden says the US military would defend Taiwan if China strikes the island.
  • A third consecutive 75 bps rate hike is highly expected from the Fed.

Gold price (XAU/USD) has turned sideways around $1,680.00 after sensing a fragile hurdle in the Asian session. The precious metal has shifted into a mark-up phase after delivering an upside break of the consolidation formed in a range of $1,654.35-1,669.80. The yellow metal has rebounded firmly after refreshing a two-year low at $1,654.19 last week.

The gold prices are expected to remain volatile ahead of the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Per the consensus, the Fed is expected to announce a third consecutive 75 basis points (bps) interest rate hike. However, doors are open for a higher rate as price pressures are needed to contain sooner.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) oscillates around the critical support of 109.50 as market veterans have slashed the US growth rates. Economists at Goldman Sachs have trimmed the growth forecasts for 2023. The US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is expected to increase by 1.1% as Fed’s tightening path along with the current restrictive policy will prove less room for growth in the scale of economic activities.

Also, the risk profile will be at play as US President Joe Biden says the US military would defend Taiwan in the event of an invasion by China.

Gold technical analysis

Gold prices are advancing towards the demand zone in a narrow range of $1,692.00-1,693.00 on an hourly scale. The precious metal has crossed the 50-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,676.45, which adds to the upside filters. Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) is on the verge of shifting into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00.

Gold hourly chart

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1677.06
Today Daily Change2.30
Today Daily Change %0.14
Today daily open1674.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA201716.79
Daily SMA501737.26
Daily SMA1001785.5
Daily SMA2001831.32
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1680.39
Previous Daily Low1654.17
Previous Weekly High1735.17
Previous Weekly Low1654.17
Previous Monthly High1807.93
Previous Monthly Low1709.68
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1670.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1664.19
Daily Pivot Point S11659.16
Daily Pivot Point S21643.55
Daily Pivot Point S31632.94
Daily Pivot Point R11685.38
Daily Pivot Point R21695.99
Daily Pivot Point R31711.6

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eyes 1.1800 barrier near two-month highs

EUR/USD extends its gains for the second successive session, trading around 1.1780 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index at 68.89 sits near overbought, signaling strong demand. RSI remains elevated, which could cap gains if overbought conditions emerge.

GBP/USD knocks ten-week highs ahead of holiday slowdown

GBP/USD found room on the high side on Monday, kicking off a holiday-shortened trading week with a fresh spat of Greenback weakness, bolstering the Pound Sterling into its highest bids in ten weeks. Pound traders are largely brushing off the latest interest rate cut from the Bank of England as the UK’s central bank policy strategy leaves the water murky for rate-cut watchers.

Gold bulls seem unstoppable amid supportive fundamental backdrop

Gold is seen building on the previous day's strong rally of over 2% and continues scaling new all-time highs for the second consecutive day on Tuesday. The commodity climbs closer to the $4,500 psychological mark during the Asian session and remains well supported by a combination of factors. 

Uniswap holds above $6 as traders eye UNIfication vote outcome

Uniswap price holds above $6 at the time of writing on Tuesday after closing above a key resistance zone in the previous week. Traders are focusing on the highly anticipated UNIfication proposal, which is set to conclude on Thursday, and could become a key near-term catalyst. On the technical side, momentum indicators are flashing bullish signals, hinting at an upside rally.

Ten questions that matter going into 2026

2026 may be less about a neat “base case” and more about a regime shift—the market can reprice what matters most (growth, inflation, fiscal, geopolitics, concentration). The biggest trap is false comfort: the same trades can look defensive… right up until they become crowded.

XRP steadies above $1.90 support as fund inflows and retail demand rise

Ripple (XRP) is stable above support at $1.90 at the time of writing on Monday, after several attempts to break above the $2.00 hurdle failed to materialize last week. Meanwhile, institutional interest in the cross-border remittance token has remained steady.