Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD’s meteoric rally falters, closes the week below $2050

Dollar comeback poured cold water on gold’s record-breaking rally.
US-China woes, US stimulus deadlock and upbeat NFP boosted the USD.
The focus stays on US-China trade talks amid light US docket next week.

Dhwani Mehta FXStreet

Gold (XAU/USD) bulls remained in the charge the past week and went onto hit a strong of fresh all-time highs above the $2050 mark.

The spot, however, paused the surge and corrected sharply by 2% on Friday to settle the week below the latter. Despite the corrective pullback, the yellow metal booked a ninth straight weekly gain, the longest winning streak on a weekly basis.

The non-yielding gold extended its bullish momentum and clocked fresh life-time highs at $2075 last week, mainly driven by the record low US inflation-adjusted real Treasury yields. The lower Treasury yields indicated faltering US economic recovery and knocked-off the US dollar to fresh two-year lows across its main competitors.

Meanwhile, disappointing employment sub-indices of the ISM Manufacturing and Services PMIs combined with downbeat ADP jobs data pointed to slowing labor market recovery in the US amid coronavirus crisis, exacerbating the pain in the greenback.

Heading into Friday, the tide turned against the USD bears amid a resurgence of the safe-haven demand, as the US-China tech war escalated after US President Donald Trump signed orders banning the Chinese tech apps.

Collaborating with the dollar’s comeback was the report that the US is considering sanctions on the Hong Kong leader Carrie Lam, which accelerated the declines in gold. Also, US fiscal wrangling and above-forecasts US NFP data bolstered the dollar bulls.

In the week ahead, the spotlight will remain on the US-China trade talks, in the face of souring diplomatic ties and worsening virus situation worldwide. The light US calendar will keep the focus shifted towards the broader risk trends and dollar dynamics.

Gold: XAU/USD Key levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	2035.16
Today Daily Change	0.00
Today Daily Change %	0.00
Today daily open	2035.16

Trends
Daily SMA20	1914.43
Daily SMA50	1815.93
Daily SMA100	1750.33
Daily SMA200	1642.89

Levels
Previous Daily High	2075.32
Previous Daily Low	2015.68
Previous Weekly High	2075.32
Previous Weekly Low	1960.67
Previous Monthly High	1984.8
Previous Monthly Low	1757.7
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	2038.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	2052.54
Daily Pivot Point S1	2008.79
Daily Pivot Point S2	1982.41
Daily Pivot Point S3	1949.15
Daily Pivot Point R1	2068.43
Daily Pivot Point R2	2101.69
Daily Pivot Point R3	2128.07

Author

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

GBP/USD bulls seem hesitant as Hormuz ship attack supports safe-haven USD

The GBP/USD pair sticks to a positive bias for the second straight day, albeit it remains below the previous day's swing high and trades just below the 1.3200 mark during the Asian session on Friday. Furthermore, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution before positioning for any meaningful recovery from November 2025 lows, around the 1.3140 region, touched on Wednesday.

EUR/USD holds above mid-1.1300s amid Hormuz risks, bearish setup

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the previous day's modest recovery gains and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, hold above mid-1.1300s and the lowest level since May 2025, set on Thursday, warranting some caution for bearish traders.

Gold recovers early lost ground; bearish bias remains amid Fed hike bets

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce from the $3,983-$3982 region, and climbs to the top end of its daily range heading into the European session. The US Dollar remains depressed below its highest level since May 2025 set on Thursday, amid receding Federal Reserve rate-hike bets. This is seen as a key factor lending some support to the commodity.

Ripple price clings to $1 as long liquidations deepen bearish trend

Ripple (XRP) trades near the key psychological support level of $1 after losing more than 8% so far this week. CoinGlass liquidation data shows that over 97% XRP long positions were wiped out over the past 24 hours. In addition, derivatives metrics continue to favor the bears.

Asian stock markets plummet as Apple price hike raises inflation concerns, KOSPI dives over 8%

Asian equity markets on Friday are significantly down as price hikes announced by Apple Inc. due to memory chip shortages have prompted fears of high inflation globally and concerns on earning projections of various companies that rely on these sophisticated chips for their final products.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.