Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD trying to hit the brakes, down into $1,824 for Tuesday

Gold on pace to close in the red for the seventh consecutive day.
XAU/USD has closed lower for ten of the last eleven daily trading sessions.
Gold prices are down nearly 6.5% from the last swing high into $1,947.55.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

Gold prices are softly down on Tuesday as broader markets continue to radiate risk-off energy, trading into $1,823.30 as risk aversion remains the key theme for markets heading into the mid-week.

The XAU/USD is trading into seven-month lows, and a break lower south of $1,804.76 will see Gold trading into its lowest prices in nearly a year, and will set new lows for 2023.

Broad-market risk appetite has evaporated in recent days, sparked by rising concerns of the odds of a global recession, and investors have been flocking into the safe haven US Dollar (USD) as market headwinds continue to rise.

US Treasury yields have been climbing as the US government narrowly averted a shutdown on partisan brinkmanship, but the temporary stopgap measure only funds the US government through mid-November. Investors are unlikely to have much confidence stoked by the 45-day reprieve, and markets can expect to be forced back into another tension spiral by November 17th if the US can't square away a functioning budget.

Gold Futures: Further losses on the cards

Gold price struggles to capitalize on modest intraday recovery from multi-month low

XAU/USD technical outlook

Gold prices are down over 5% in under a week and a half, sliding from $1,926 and extending the precious metal's decline from 2023's peak near $2,075.

Daily candlesticks see the XAU/USD tumbling well away from technical indicators, with the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) well above current price action near $1,930 and technical indicators breaking in oversold territory.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at its lowest value of 19.58 since 2015, and a break into $1,800 will see Gold prices turn red for the year.

XAU/USD daily chart

XAU/USD technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price	1823.24
Today Daily Change	-4.57
Today Daily Change %	-0.25
Today daily open	1827.81

Trends
Daily SMA20	1906.68
Daily SMA50	1918.75
Daily SMA100	1933.31
Daily SMA200	1927.73

Levels
Previous Daily High	1849.16
Previous Daily Low	1827.23
Previous Weekly High	1927.27
Previous Weekly Low	1846.37
Previous Monthly High	1953.01
Previous Monthly Low	1846.37
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1835.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1840.78
Daily Pivot Point S1	1820.31
Daily Pivot Point S2	1812.8
Daily Pivot Point S3	1798.38
Daily Pivot Point R1	1842.24
Daily Pivot Point R2	1856.66
Daily Pivot Point R3	1864.17

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks

Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.

Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.