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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD trims losses and approaches $1,900

  • Gold trims weekly losses and returns to $1,885 area.
  • The precious metal bounces up amid moderate dollar weakness.
  • A clear Biden's victory might open the doors for gold's recovery.

Gold futures have bounced up from $1,860 lows, returning to $1,885 area, buoyed by a slightly brighter market mood on Friday which has eased safe-haven demand for the US dollar.

Gold depreciates in a cautious market

The yellow metal, however, remains negative on the week, on track for a 1,1% depreciation. Market concerns about the impact of a second COVID 19 wave and the uncertainty above the US elections have strengthened the US dollar, on the detriment of dollar-denominated commodities, like gold, which dropped to levels right above multi-month lows at $1,850.

A round of short-covering in the last trading day of the month could explain the moderate pullback of the US dollar, which has helped bullion to take some distance from recent lows. Beyond that, the decline on US treasury bond yields has contributed to easing demand on the USD offering further support to gold's recovery.

A Democrat victory might clear the bullish path for XAU/USD

Next week’s US elections are expected to defining the near-term path for gold futures, says FXStreet's Analyst Yohay Elam, who sees XAU/USD appreciating in case Biden obtains a clear victory: “Gold heavily depends on the election results – for the White House and very much the Senate. Opinion polls are pointing to a handy victory for Biden over Trump. However, Trump may not necessarily accept the outcome and that could cause chaos that would drag markets down and gold with it. Yet even assuming Biden wins, the path higher for gold would be clearer with a blue wave – flipping the Senate.”

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1879.99
Today Daily Change12.13
Today Daily Change %0.65
Today daily open1867.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA201901.01
Daily SMA501916.89
Daily SMA1001888.15
Daily SMA2001768.49
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1885.05
Previous Daily Low1860
Previous Weekly High1931.54
Previous Weekly Low1894.48
Previous Monthly High1992.42
Previous Monthly Low1848.82
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1869.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1875.48
Daily Pivot Point S11856.89
Daily Pivot Point S21845.92
Daily Pivot Point S31831.84
Daily Pivot Point R11881.94
Daily Pivot Point R21896.02
Daily Pivot Point R31906.99

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
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