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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggles for direction, stuck in a range around $1730 area

  • Gold reversed an early dip to weekly lows and was supported by a combination of factors.
  • The USD witnessed profit-taking amid sliding US bond yields and extended some support.
  • A goodish rebound in the US equity futures kept a lid on any further gains for the commodity.

Gold held on to its modest intraday gains through the mid-European session, albeit lacked any follow-through buying. The commodity was last seen trading near the $1730 region, up 0.20% for the day.

Following an early dip to weekly lows, the precious metal managed to regain some positive traction and recovered a part of the previous day's losses. The early uptick was supported by the ongoing decline in the US Treasury bond yields, which tends to benefit the non-yielding yellow metal.

In fact, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond momentarily slipped below 1.6% on Wednesday amid easing inflation worries. The Fed Chair Jerome Powell on Tuesday painted an optimistic picture of the economy and downplayed the risks that growth would spur unwanted inflation.

Meanwhile, retreating US bond yields prompted some profit-taking around the US dollar, which was seen as another factor that underpinned the dollar-denominated commodity. However, a positive turnaround in the equity markets kept a lid on any meaningful upside for the safe-haven XAU/USD.

Looking at the technical picture, the commodity has repeatedly struggled to capitalize on its move beyond the $1740-42 supply zone. Apart from this, the overnight break below a two-week-old ascending trend-line support might have already set the stage for further near-term weakness.

Market participants now look forward to the US economic docket, highlighting the release of Durable Goods Orders and flash PMI prints for March. Apart from this, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's second testimony before the US Congress might provide some trading impetus to the XAU/USD.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1730.18
Today Daily Change3.23
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1726.95
 
Trends
Daily SMA201729.64
Daily SMA501789.29
Daily SMA1001828.11
Daily SMA2001860.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1742.58
Previous Daily Low1724.76
Previous Weekly High1755.59
Previous Weekly Low1719.3
Previous Monthly High1871.9
Previous Monthly Low1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1731.57
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1735.77
Daily Pivot Point S11720.28
Daily Pivot Point S21713.61
Daily Pivot Point S31702.46
Daily Pivot Point R11738.1
Daily Pivot Point R21749.25
Daily Pivot Point R31755.92

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
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