|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggles for direction, stuck in a range above $1800 mark

  • Gold struggled to capitalize on its intraday positive move and remained confined in a range.
  • The underlying bullish sentiment, pickup in the US bond yields collaborated towards capping.
  • The bias seems tilted in favour of bearish traders and supports prospects for further weakness.

Gold continued with its struggle for a firm intraday direction and remained confined in a range below the $1810 level through the mid-European session.

The US dollar witnessed some fresh selling in reaction to Tuesday's dovish sounding comments by Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This, in turn, was seen as a key factor that assisted the dollar-denominated commodity to build on the previous day's bounce from sub-$1800 levels.

However, a combination of factors kept a lid on any further gains for the XAU/USD. Investors remained optimistic about the global economic outlook amid the rollout of COVID-19 vaccines and the progress on US President Joe Biden's proposed $1.9 trillion stimulus package.

This was evident from the underlying bullish tone in the financial markets, which held bulls from placing aggressive bets around the safe-haven commodity. Apart from this, a modest pickup in the US Treasury bond yields further collaborated to cap the non-yielding yellow metal.

The market has been reacting strongly to the prospects for a massive US fiscal spending plan and pushed the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond back closer to over one-year tops. Hence, any meaningful positive move might be seen as an opportunity for bearish traders.

Market participants now look forward to Powell's second day of testimony before the House Financial Services Committee, which might influence the US bond yields and the USD. This, along with the broader market risk sentiment, might produce some trading opportunities around the XAU/USD.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1806.61
Today Daily Change1.87
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open1804.74
 
Trends
Daily SMA201818.59
Daily SMA501851.8
Daily SMA1001862.3
Daily SMA2001859.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1816.07
Previous Daily Low1795.66
Previous Weekly High1827.11
Previous Weekly Low1760.72
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1803.46
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1808.27
Daily Pivot Point S11794.91
Daily Pivot Point S21785.08
Daily Pivot Point S31774.5
Daily Pivot Point R11815.32
Daily Pivot Point R21825.9
Daily Pivot Point R31835.73

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD remains confined in a range above mid-1.3300s ahead of UK jobs report

The GBP/USD pair extends its sideways consolidative price move through the Asian session on Tuesday and currently trades around the 1.3370-1.3365 region, nearly unchanged for the day. Traders seem reluctant and opt to wait for this week's important macro releases and the key central bank event risk before placing fresh directional bets.

Gold defends $4,300 as focus shifts to US NFP, PMI data

Gold price holds the $4,300 level, easing from the highest since October 21 in the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal stays afloat on further US Federal Reserve rate cut bets. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report will take center stage later on Tuesday. Also, the US Retail Sales and Purchasing Managers Index will be published. 

Top Crypto Losers: Aster, Midnight, and Ethena extend losses as selling pressure mounts

Aster, Midnight, and Ethena are the altcoins with the most losses over the last 24 hours, as the broader cryptocurrency market weakens amid Bitcoin dropping below $86,000.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.