|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD struggles for direction, flat-lined above $1,780 level

  • Gold struggled to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the vicinity of the $1,765-60 support.
  • The recent pullback and the lack of any follow-through buying warrants caution for bullish traders.

Gold reversed an intraday dip to the $1,774 area and is currently placed near the top end of its daily trading range, around the $1,782-83 region.

Worries that surging COVID-19 infections in some countries could derail the global economic recovery continued lending some support to the safe-haven XAU/USD. Apart from this, the emergence of some fresh selling around the US dollar further benefitted the dollar-denominated commodity. However, a modest pickup in the US Treasury bond yields kept a lid on any further gains for the non-yielding yellow metal.

From a technical perspective, the XAU/USD stalled its recent pullback from the vicinity of the $1,800 mark, or two-month tops and found decent support ahead of the $1,765-60 region. The mentioned area marked the neckline resistance breakpoint of a bullish double-bottom formation near the $1,677-76 region. The emergence of some dip-buying near the mentioned resistance-turned-support favours bullish traders.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on hourly/daily charts are holding in the bullish territory and add credence to the constructive set-up. That said, the lack of any strong follow-through buying warrants some caution. Moreover, the recent price action between two converging trend-line now seemed to constitute the formation of a rising wedge, suggesting that the corrective bounce might have run out of steam.

This, in turn, suggests that investors have now moved on the sidelines and await fresh catalyst from the latest FOMC monetary policy decision, due on Wednesday. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a sustained move beyond the $1,800 mark before positioning for any further appreciating move. Conversely, a convincing break below the $1,765-60 resistance-turned-support might shift the bias back in favour of bearish traders.

XAU/USD 4-hour chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1782.6
Today Daily Change1.44
Today Daily Change %0.08
Today daily open1781.16
 
Trends
Daily SMA201749.1
Daily SMA501746.55
Daily SMA1001802.9
Daily SMA2001856.94
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1783.54
Previous Daily Low1768.81
Previous Weekly High1797.93
Previous Weekly Low1763.7
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1777.91
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1774.44
Daily Pivot Point S11772.13
Daily Pivot Point S21763.11
Daily Pivot Point S31757.4
Daily Pivot Point R11786.86
Daily Pivot Point R21792.57
Daily Pivot Point R31801.59

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).