|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD sticks to modest gains above $1715, lacks follow-through

  • The risk-off mood prompted some short-covering around the safe-haven gold on Thursday.
  • An uptick in the US bond yields underpinned the USD and capped gains for the commodity.
  • Investors now look forward to Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech for a fresh trading impetus.

Gold held on to its modest gains heading into European trading, albeit lacked any strong follow-through buying. The commodity was last seen hovering around the $1717 region, up around 0.10% for the day.

Having defended the $1700 mark in the previous day, the precious metal managed to regain some positive traction on Thursday amid a weaker trading sentiment around the equity markets. The overnight sell-off in the US Treasuries raised fears about distressed selling in other asset classes and took its toll on the global risk sentiment. This, in turn, prompted some short-covering around the safe-haven XAU/USD amid slightly oversold conditions.

However, a combination of factors held bulls from placing aggressive bets and capped gains for the commodity. The US bond market continued reacting to the prospects for a relatively faster US economic recovery and a possible uptick in inflation. The reflation trade raised bouts that the Fed would retain ultra-low interest rates for a longer period, which should keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the non-yielding yellow metal.

The upbeat US economic outlook was driven by the progress on coronavirus vaccinations and a massive US fiscal spending plan. This, along with an uptick in the US bond yields, extended some support to the US dollar and further weighed on the dollar-denominated commodity. This makes it prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying before confirming that the XAU/USD has bottomed out and positioning for any noticeable recovery in the near-term.

Apart from this, investors also seemed reluctant, rather preferred to wait on the sidelines ahead of the Fed Chair Jerome Powell's scheduled speech later during the North American session. Powell's comments on the risk of a rapid rise in long-term borrowing costs will play a key role in influencing the XAU/USD and assist investors to determine the near-term trajectory.

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1716.64
Today Daily Change2.28
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open1714.36
 
Trends
Daily SMA201789.47
Daily SMA501836.41
Daily SMA1001852.73
Daily SMA2001860.38
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1740.6
Previous Daily Low1702
Previous Weekly High1816.07
Previous Weekly Low1717.24
Previous Monthly High1871.9
Previous Monthly Low1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1716.75
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1725.85
Daily Pivot Point S11697.37
Daily Pivot Point S21680.39
Daily Pivot Point S31658.77
Daily Pivot Point R11735.97
Daily Pivot Point R21757.59
Daily Pivot Point R31774.57

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.