Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD slides below triangle support, turns vulnerable ahead of FOMC

  • Gold witnessed some follow-through selling for the second consecutive session.
  • Break below a symmetrical triangle might have set the stage for further weakness.
  • A sharp fall in the global equity markets could help limit losses ahead of the FOMC.

Gold remained depressed through the mid-European session and dropped to fresh weekly lows, around the $1842-41 region in the last hour. Bearish traders are now looking to drag the commodity further below a one-week-old ascending trend-line, which constituted the formation of a symmetrical triangle.

Given the recent sharp pullback from monthly tops, around the $1960 region touched on January 6, the triangle could be categorised as a bearish continuation pattern – pennant. This, in turn, favours bearish traders and supports prospects for the resumption of a one-month-old downward trajectory.

Meanwhile, technical indicators on hourly charts have been gaining negative traction and have just started drifting into the bearish territory on the daily chart. This further adds credence to the negative outlook and a possible slide back towards challenging the $1800 round-figure mark.

In the meantime, intermediate support levels are pegged near the $1835 region ahead of the $1827 level and $1820-18 area. A sharp pullback in the equity markets could extend some support to the safe-haven XAU/USD and help limit deeper losses as the focus remains on the FOMC monetary policy decision.

On the flip side, the $1851-52 horizontal zone now seems to act as immediate resistance. Any subsequent move beyond the mentioned hurdle might still be seen as a selling opportunity and runs the risk of fizzling out rather quickly near the triangle resistance, around the $1860-62 region.

XAU/USD 4-hourly chart


Technical levels to watch


Today last price 1840.87
Today Daily Change -10.49
Today Daily Change % -0.57
Today daily open 1851.36
Daily SMA20 1873.34
Daily SMA50 1858.08
Daily SMA100 1881.2
Daily SMA200 1849.34
Previous Daily High 1861.8
Previous Daily Low 1848.46
Previous Weekly High 1875.2
Previous Weekly Low 1802.8
Previous Monthly High 1906.87
Previous Monthly Low 1775.52
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1853.56
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1856.7
Daily Pivot Point S1 1845.95
Daily Pivot Point S2 1840.53
Daily Pivot Point S3 1832.61
Daily Pivot Point R1 1859.29
Daily Pivot Point R2 1867.21
Daily Pivot Point R3 1872.63



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