|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD risks freefall to $1,700 area

  • Gold is likely to open trading on Monday in losses, especially if the critical ascending channel’s middle boundary support breaks.
  • The MACD has reinforced XAU/USD’s bearish outlook on the daily chart.
  • Recovery will come into the picture if gold closes the day above the middle boundary support.

Gold has continued to struggle amid a stronger US dollar. The precious metal has generally sustained a downtrend within an ascending parallel channel since August 2020, top at $2,075 per ounce. Meanwhile, losses are likely to take precedence if a crucial support area gives in to the intensifying selling pressure.

XAU/USD closed the week’s trading at $1,821 amid a growing bearish grip. The world’s most expensive metal is also holding at the ascending parallel channel’s middle boundary. If this support caves in, massive selling orders would be triggered, as gold explores downhill price levels.

On the downside, the most formidable support is the region at $1,750, but XAU/USD losses are expected to extend to the channel’s lower boundary around $1,700.

The pessimistic outlook has been validated by the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on the daily chart. Its position under the midline suggests that sellers have more influence, at least for now.

XAU/USD chart

XAU/USD 4-hour chart

Recovery is possible as long as the support at the middle boundary is defended. Moreover, traders should avoid expected delays at $1,850, as highlighted by the 50 Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily chart and the 200 SMA.

Author

John Isige

John Isige

FXStreet

John Isige is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and markets analyst committed to delivering high-quality, actionable insights tailored to traders, investors, and crypto enthusiasts. He enjoys deep dives into emerging Web3 tren

More from John Isige
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD climbs above 1.1600 as markets cheer US-Iran deal

EUR/USD gathers bullish momentum and trades above 1.1600 on Monday. The US and Iran have reached a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz on Sunday, which underpins risk sentiment, supporting the Euro against the US Dollar. Now, the main focus this week remains on the Fed policy decision due on Wednesday.

GBP/USD retreats from 10-day high, holds above 1.3200

GBP/USD pulls away from the 10-day high it touched above 1.3460 but manages to stay in positive territory above 1.3400. The positive shift seen in risk mood following news of the US and Iran reaching a framework agreement to end the conflict and reopen the Strait of Hormuz helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold rallies beyond $4,300 as geopolitical tensions ease

Gold rises sharply on Monday and trades well above $4,300, gaining nearly 3% on the day. The precious metal gathers bullish momentum after the United States and Iran had reached a deal to end their conflict, easing concerns about inflation and higher interest rates.


Bitcoin consolidates gains, Ethereum defends support, XRP nears breakout trigger


Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple begin the week on a constructive note as the top three cryptocurrencies attempt to extend rebounds after recovering nearly 4%, 2% and 2.6%, respectively. BTC steadies around $65,600, ETH continues to hold firmly above the key $1,700 support, while XRP nears the upper boundary of the falling channel pattern. 

President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete
President Trump announced that the deal with Iran is complete and he authorises the toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz and removal of the US Naval blockade. While the agreement is made, it is expected to be signed on Friday to take effect. The Forex market looks stable and could react slowly to the positivity around the news as Iran still expresses its mistrust on the US.
4.2% headline, 0.2% core: Why the Fed's next hike may be targeting the wrong problem

May's CPI put headline inflation at 4.2% on the year, up from 3.8% in April and the hottest reading since April 2023, while core prices rose just 0.2% on the month, undershooting the 0.3% consensus and halving April's pace.