|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD rallies seen as corrective while below $1765 – Commerzbank

Gold’s bounce ahead of the June low at $1670 is viewed as corrective. XAU/USD will need to regain $1765 to alleviate downside pressure, as reported by Commerzbank.

See – Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD to see selling pressure once more beyond the quarter-end – OCBC

Key quotes

“The market is bouncing just ahead of the $1670 June low and the $1675 2019-2021 uptrend. However, rallies are indicated to be corrective only AND initial resistance is offered by the $1760/65 band, which is the May high and November low blocks the way higher.” 

“A close above $1760/65 is needed in order to alleviate downside pressure and signal a deeper recovery to the $1800-$1820 band, but various Elliott wave counts suggest that this should be it on the topside. 

“Above the $1800-$1820 band lies $1861.35, the 200-day ma and $1906, the 21st December high, and the top of the channel at $1918. This guards the November and September highs at $1965.84/$1973.8 and the 78.6% retracement at 2006.” 

“Below $1670 would imply ongoing weakness to the $1584/78.6% retracement.”

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD gains traction near  0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD finds fresh buyers and retakes 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold bounces but not out of the woods yet

Gold is facing fresh sellers above $4,300 early Thursday, stalling its recovery from six-week lows of $4,235 reached soon after hawkish US Federal Reserve monetary policy announcements.

XRP and XLM rebound amid mixed signals
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) extend their recovery at the time of writing on Thursday after finding support at key technical levels. However, mixed derivatives and on-chain data for both altcoins suggest that traders remain cautious and have yet to show strong conviction in a sustained rebound. Derivatives data shows a mixed and cautious outlook among traders.
The Fed rate hike: What happens now?
The dust has settled on tonight’s Fed meeting and the market reaction is clear: the Fed’s signal that there could be a series of rate hikes has spooked financial markets. Bonds sold off at the short end of the Treasury curve and US stocks also fell, led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which slipped more than 1% on Wednesday night.
How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.