|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD just dipped below $1800

  • Gold is trading just 0.10% higher after trading higher earlier on Monday.
  • The could be heading to the channel low on the chart below. 

Gold 4-hour chart

XAU/USD had been positive earlier in the session but there has been a turnaround in risk sentiment and stocks and gold has sold off during the late hours of the US session. The DXY has also recovered somewhat and is now trades at 96.51 after being as low as 96.27, 10-year treasury yields have also fallen and it seems like there is a flight to fixed income.

Looking at the chart below, there is a clear channel formation but it is very steep. The first support will be the USD 1800 per troy ounce level but beyond that, the channel low could be next up. Any break of the channel low could take the price to the next support near USD 1787.13 per ounce.

The MACD indicator is mixed as the signal lines are still above the midpoint but the histogram is in the red. The Relative Strength Index is just hanging at the 50 line and a dip below could be a bearish signal. The 50 line could be breached if the price breaks the consolidation low of USD 1794.58 per ounce.

Longer-term the price is in a very strong uptrend. This retracement could just be a small blip as the price makes its way toward USD 2000 per troy ounce or the all-time high at USD 1920.94 per ounce.

Gold Technical Analysis

Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1802.7
Today Daily Change3.50
Today Daily Change %0.19
Today daily open1799.2
 
Trends
Daily SMA201766.72
Daily SMA501737.9
Daily SMA1001688.1
Daily SMA2001600.95
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1810.74
Previous Daily Low1794.24
Previous Weekly High1818.17
Previous Weekly Low1770.16
Previous Monthly High1785.91
Previous Monthly Low1670.76
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1800.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1804.44
Daily Pivot Point S11792.05
Daily Pivot Point S21784.89
Daily Pivot Point S31775.55
Daily Pivot Point R11808.55
Daily Pivot Point R21817.89
Daily Pivot Point R31825.05

Author

Rajan Dhall, MSTA

Rajan Dhall is an experienced market analyst, who has been trading professionally since 2007 managing various funds producing exceptional returns.

More from Rajan Dhall, MSTA
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD hovers around 0.7000, over one-week low ahead of RBA decision

AUD/USD consolidates the previous day's losses to an over one-week low, holding steady around 0.7000 during the Asian session on Tuesday ahead of the RBA rate decision. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains depressed as hopes for a diplomatic resolution to end the US-Iran war counter Fed hike bets amid market anxiety ahead of the US midterm elections, further supporting the currency pair.





USD/JPY fails near 159.00 amid weak USD, intervention risks

USD/JPY edges lower during Tuesday’s Asian session, reversing part of the previous day's gains to 158.00 as the US Dollar remains depressed amid hopes for Iran diplomacy and ahead of US midterm elections. Meanwhile, intervention risks support the Japanese Yen, though the uncertainty over the timing of the next BoJ rate hike caps gains. This keeps the pair confined within a familiar range and warrants caution before placing directional bets.


Gold consolidates near $3,950 as Fed hike bets counter weak USD ahead of US elections

Gold holds steady around $3,950 through Tuesday’s Asian session, consolidating the previous day's recovery gains from the lowest level since October 2025, touched last week. Hopes for Iran optimism keep the safe-haven US Dollar depressed, which, along with anxiety ahead of US midterm elections, supports the bullion. However, Fed rate-hike bets and a modest bounce in US bond yields cap gains for the non-yielding yellow metal.

RBA expected to raise interest rate to 4.85%

The Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its monetary policy decision on Tuesday and is widely anticipated to raise the Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 4.85% from 4.6%. If the RBA delivers as expected, it will be the fifth interest rate hike of 2026, and the OCR will hit an 18-year high.

Strong iPhone sales fortify Apple's Q4 result

A robust fourth-quarter for Apple's iPhone sales helped the tech titan beat Wall Street's consensus on Monday. Apple reported $57.58 billion in iPhone sales in Q4, beating the average analyst estimate by more than a billion. However, AAPL stock shed close to 4% afterhours despite the top and bottom line beat.

The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.