|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD jumps to $1950 for the first time since mid-September

  • Gold has best days in months, up almost 3%.
  • US dollar tumbles as Wall Street soars ahead of FOMC, NFP but looking at the election.

Boosted by a decline of the US dollar across the board, XAU/USD jumped to $1952, reaching the highest level since September 21. It then pulled back, and it is trading at $1945, up almost 3%, having the biggest daily gain in two months.

The US Dollar is falling sharply across the board, and particularly over the last hour against commodity currencies. At the same time, equity prices continue to rally in Wall Street. The Dow Jones is up by 1.95% and the Nasdaq by 2.30%. The DXY fell to test October lows at 92.45 and remain under pressure.

Market participants await updates from the vote count in the US election. US President Trump said will legally challenge all recent states claimed by Biden. “All of the recent Biden claimed States will be legally challenged by us for Voter Fraud and State Election Fraud. Plenty of proof - just check out the Media. WE WILL WIN! America First!”, the President tweeted.

The FOMC will announce its decision at 19:00 GMT. No change in the monetary policy stance is expected. On Friday, the Non-farm payroll report is due.

XAU/USD Technical outlook

From a technical perspective, gold is holding firm above key moving averages and also above October highs, supporting further gains. The next resistance above $1950 is seen at the $1975 area. The upside momentum will likely remain in place as long as it holds above $1930. A slide back below $1895 would weaken the outlook, favoring more losses.

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1945.52
Today Daily Change40.68
Today Daily Change %2.14
Today daily open1904.84
 
Trends
Daily SMA201901.48
Daily SMA501913.56
Daily SMA1001894.89
Daily SMA2001774.98
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1916.5
Previous Daily Low1881.81
Previous Weekly High1911.46
Previous Weekly Low1860
Previous Monthly High1933.3
Previous Monthly Low1860
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1895.06
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1903.25
Daily Pivot Point S11885.6
Daily Pivot Point S21866.36
Daily Pivot Point S31850.91
Daily Pivot Point R11920.29
Daily Pivot Point R21935.74
Daily Pivot Point R31954.98

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD slips heading into the Thursday trading window

The Pound Sterling pulled back from four-year highs on Wednesday, weighed down by a combination of Bank of England dovishness and UK political uncertainty, even as the US Dollar weakened on soft labor market revisions. 

Gold posts modest gains above $5,050 as US-Iran tensions persist despite strong labor data

Gold price trades in positive territory near $5,060 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal edges higher despite stronger-than-expected US employment data. The release of the US Consumer Price Index inflation report will take center stage later on Friday. 

Bitcoin holds steady despite strong US labour market

Bitcoin briefly bounced from $66,000 to above $68,000 but slightly reversed those gains following Wednesday's US January jobs report. The top crypto is hovering around $67,000, down 2% over the past 24 hours as of writing on Wednesday.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.