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Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD finds decent support near 100-DMA, upside seems limited

  • Gold continues to show resilience near 100-day SMA support, around the $1850-49 region.
  • The technical set-up still favours bearish traders and supports prospects for further weakness.
  • An attempted bounce might get sold into and remain capped near the $1900 support breakpoint.

Gold once again found some support near 100-day SMA, around the $1849 region and turned positive for the day amid a broad-based USD weakness.

The yellow metal shot to daily tops during the early North American session, albeit struggled to capitalize on the move beyond the $1877 resistance zone. The mentioned hurdle marks the top end of a three-day-old trading range, which if cleared decisively might trigger some short-covering move.

Given last week's sustained break below the $1900 horizontal support, the commodity's inability to register any meaningful recovery suggests that the selling bias might still be far from being over. The negative outlook is further reinforced by bearish technical indicators on the daily chart.

That said, traders might still wait for some follow-through selling below 100-DMA support, around the $1845 region, before positioning for any further depreciating move. The XAU/USD might then accelerate the fall towards the 61.8% Fibonacci level of the $1671-$2075 positive move, around the $1822 area.

On the flip side, sustained strength beyond the $1875-77 supply zone might trigger some short-covering move. However, the positive move might still be seen as an opportunity to initiate fresh bearish positions. This, in turn, might cap the upside near the $1900 strong support breakpoint.

Gold daily chart

fxsoriginal

Technical levels to watch

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1870.62
Today Daily Change8.86
Today Daily Change %0.48
Today daily open1861.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA201930.4
Daily SMA501942.58
Daily SMA1001845.41
Daily SMA2001724.82
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1875.23
Previous Daily Low1852.46
Previous Weekly High1955.66
Previous Weekly Low1848.84
Previous Monthly High2075.32
Previous Monthly Low1863.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1861.16
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1866.53
Daily Pivot Point S11851.07
Daily Pivot Point S21840.38
Daily Pivot Point S31828.3
Daily Pivot Point R11873.84
Daily Pivot Point R21885.92
Daily Pivot Point R31896.61

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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