|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD clings to 200-HMA inside one-week-old triangle

  • Gold eases inside a choppy range around the key moving average.
  • Normal RSI conditions also tame directional moves between $1,725-38.
  • 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, monthly high act as extra filters beyond the triangle.

Gold prices refrain from breaking the less than $5 intraday range, bouncing off lows to around $1,735 by the press time of early Thursday. In doing so the yellow metal stays bear near 200-HMA while funneling down the one-week-old symmetrical triangle.

Not only the triangle formation and rigid moves inside the key moving average, but RSI conditions also challenge the momentum traders.

Hence, the bullion moves are likely to pick-up pace only if breaking the $1,725 support or $1,738 resistance. Also acting as additional challenges to the precious metal traders are the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of March 12-18 upside and the monthly peak, respectively around $1,720 and $1,755.

It should, however, be noted that the commodity’s failures to keep the early March recovery moves and the US dollar strength suggest brighter days for the bears.

Overall, gold prices are stuck in a small range and need a decisive push for clear direction.

Gold hourly chart

Trend: Sideways

additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1734.48
Today Daily Change-0.48
Today Daily Change %-0.03%
Today daily open1734.96
 
Trends
Daily SMA201726.26
Daily SMA501787.01
Daily SMA1001826.41
Daily SMA2001860.65
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1738.48
Previous Daily Low1723.86
Previous Weekly High1755.59
Previous Weekly Low1719.3
Previous Monthly High1871.9
Previous Monthly Low1717.24
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1732.9
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1729.44
Daily Pivot Point S11726.39
Daily Pivot Point S21717.81
Daily Pivot Point S31711.77
Daily Pivot Point R11741.01
Daily Pivot Point R21747.05
Daily Pivot Point R31755.63

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD gains traction near  0.7100 as the post-Fed USD rally pauses

AUD/USD finds fresh buyers and retakes 0.7100 in the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar pauses its hawkish Fed-inspired rally to its highest level since late July. However, RBA rate-hike bets and hopes for US-Iran diplomatic efforts lift risk sentiment and support the risk-sensitive Australian Dollar and the major.

USD/JPY reverses a dip below 156.00 as focus shifts to BoJ

USD/JPY is reversing a brief dip below 156.00 in the Asian session on Thursday, looking to snap a three-day winning streak to a nearly two-week top set the previous day. The US Dollar pauses following the post-Fed rally to seven-week highs, while a more hawkish repricing of the BoJ's policy normalization path supports the Japanese Yen. This keeps the pair's upside limited, with the focus now shifting to the BoJ policy decision due on Friday.

Gold pops to weekly highs near $4,400

Gold climbs sharply and clinches fresh weekly peaks around the $4,480 zone per troy ounce on Thursday. The precious metal’s bounce leaves behind three daily declines in a row and follows the marked retracement in the US Dollar as well as another negative performance of crude oil prices.

BoE recap: A cautious stance amid rising inflation risks

The Bank of England left Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message as its inflation outlook deteriorated sharply.

One hike down, more to come? The Fed’s new rate path says yes

The Federal Reserve (Fed) raised its Fed Fund Target Range (FFTR) range by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4.00% in a unanimous decision, saying the move would support a timelier return to its 2% inflation goal.

How Japan became the World's Banker and why that era may be ending

Japan's ultra-low interest rates helped finance trillions of dollars in global investments for more than a decade, making the Japanese Yen one of the world’s cheapest sources of funding. With the Bank of Japan expected to tighten policy again this week, that advantage may be entering a new phase. While most major economies raised interest rates, Japan remained the world's outlier.