|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD cheers Biden-led stimulus hopes, levels to watch – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) is eyeing the $1900 mark, having climbed nearly 2% on Wednesday. Expectations of massive stimulus under the 46th US President Joe Biden's administration have boosted the inflation expectations, underpinning gold – the hedge against inflation.

Biden proposed a $1.9 trillion stimulus package to counter the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. Janet Yellen urged US lawmakers to "act big" on fiscal spending. Stimulus hopes will continue to favor the XAU bulls but for how long? Let’s look at the technical graphs for better understanding.       

Gold Price Chart: Key resistances and supports

The Technical Confluences Indicator shows that gold is set to challenge a major resistance at $1877, which is the confluence of the SMA100 four-hour and Fibonacci 23.6% one-month.

The next relevant bet for the buyers is seen at $1884, the pivot point one-week R2.

Acceptance above the latter could open doors towards $1893, where the Fibonacci 161.8% one-week is located.

To the downside, the bulls will need to defend a dense cluster of support levels around $1870, which is the convergence of the previous day high and the previous low on 15-minutes.

Further down, the previous week high at $1864 could test the bears’ commitment.

The Fibonacci 23.6% one-day at $1862 will offer the next support, below which $1857 would be tested. That level is the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and one-month.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About Confluence Detector

The TCI (Technical Confluences Indicator) is a tool to locate and point out those price levels where there is a congestion of indicators, moving averages, Fibonacci levels, Pivot Points, etc. Knowing where these congestion points are located is very useful for the trader, and can be used as a basis for different strategies.

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD defies gravity; focus is back to 0.7000

AUD/USD has maintained its bid bias around 0.6970 ahead of the opening bell in Asia on Tuesday. The pair has added to Friday’s rebound, retargeting the 0.7000 hurdle despite another day of firm gains in the Greenback. Looking ahead, Westpac will publish its Consumer Confidence gauge on the domestic calendar.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold treads water around $4,150

Gold now regains some composure and approaches the $4,150 mark per troy ounce late on Monday. The precious metal’s vacillating price action comes in response to the persistent advance in the US Dollar in combination with the resurgence of the upside momentum in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC slips, XAU downtrend persists as US Services PMI misses forecasts
Bitcoin (BTC) faces growing headwinds on Monday, as it trades lower below $86,000. Despite the ongoing pullback, the Crypto King remains in a broad range with the lower limit near $84,000 and the upper limit at $88,000. A break on either side of this zone would influence BTC's direction. Gold (XAU/USD), meanwhile, retains a dominant bearish outlook as price action continues downward toward $4,100.
Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.