|

Gold Price Analysis: XAU/USD bounces back above $1820, downside bias still intact

  • XAU/USD attempts a bounce after finding bids at $1816.
  • Bearish 21-HMA is the level to beat on the road to recovery.
  • RSI bounces off oversold conditions but remains bearish.

Gold (XAU/USD) bears have taken a breather in early European trading, prompting a rebound towards the critical bearish 21-hourly moving average (HMA) at $1831.

Acceptance above the latter could accelerate the recovery towards the next resistance at the 50-HMA of $1836.

Powerful resistance around $1848 could likely keep the further recovery elusive. That level is the confluence of the 100 and 200-HMAs.

To the downside, a breach of the four-day-old falling trendline support at $1816 could trigger a steep drop towards the January 18 low of $1803.

Further down, the November 30 high of $1790 could come to the rescue of the XAU bulls.

The relative strength index (RSI) has bounced-off from the oversold territory but remains below the 50 level, keeping the sellers hopeful.

Gold Price Chart: Hourly

Gold Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1825.48
Today Daily Change-7.52
Today Daily Change %-0.41
Today daily open1833
 
Trends
Daily SMA201850.78
Daily SMA501857.93
Daily SMA1001874.71
Daily SMA2001853.06
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1845.02
Previous Daily Low1829.68
Previous Weekly High1875.7
Previous Weekly Low1831.36
Previous Monthly High1959.42
Previous Monthly Low1802.8
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1835.54
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1839.16
Daily Pivot Point S11826.78
Daily Pivot Point S21820.56
Daily Pivot Point S31811.44
Daily Pivot Point R11842.12
Daily Pivot Point R21851.24
Daily Pivot Point R31857.46

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles to extend advance above 1.1800

The EUR/USD pair posts a fresh weekly low near 1.1740 during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The major currency pair is under pressure as the US Dollar edges higher despite Federal Open Market Committee minutes of the December policy meeting, released on Tuesday, showing that most policymakers stressed the need for further interest rate cuts.

GBP/USD tests 1.3450 support after moving below nine-day EMA

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3460 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a weakening of a bullish bias as the pair is positioned slightly below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

Gold jumps on US rate cut prospects, safe-haven demand

Gold price extends the rally above $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Wednesday. Gold's price has surged about 65% this year and is set to record its biggest annual gains since 1979. The rally in the precious metal is bolstered by the prospect of further US interest rate cuts in 2026. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).