|

Gold Price Analysis: Technical setup favors XAU/USD bulls, $1747 remains in sight

  • Gold has confirmed a bull pennant breakout on the hourly chart.
  • A bull cross is also spotted with RSI in the overbought territory.
  • Attention shifts towards the NFP data and next week’s FOMC minutes.

Gold (XAU/USD) staged a solid comeback from multi-month troughs and rallied over 1% on Friday, courtesy of the sell-off in the US dollar across the board.

The greenback tumbled in sync with the Treasury yields amid risk-on market mood. Gold’s fate now hinges on the all-important US NFP report, with the US economy expected to add 647K jobs in March.

Looking at gold’s hourly chart, the odds are in favor of further upside after a bull flag formation got validated into the weekly closing on Thursday.

Adding credence to a potential move higher, the said time frame also displays a bull crossover, with the 21-hourly moving average (HMA) having peeped above the 200-HMA.

Gold Price Chart: One-hour

With the bull flag now in play, gold remains poised to test the pattern target at $1747.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reflects overbought conditions. Therefore, the buyers could see a temporary pullback in prices before the corrective upside resumes.

To the downside, the confluence of the 21 and 200-HMAs at $1720 could offer immediate comfort to the XAU bulls.

If the bearish pressure intensifies, a test of the 100-HMA at $1708 could be inevitable.

Gold: Additional levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1729.42
Today Daily Change0.00
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open1729.42
 
Trends
Daily SMA201722.71
Daily SMA501771.11
Daily SMA1001815.55
Daily SMA2001859.54
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1730.68
Previous Daily Low1705.84
Previous Weekly High1747.12
Previous Weekly Low1721.69
Previous Monthly High1759.98
Previous Monthly Low1676.87
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1721.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1715.33
Daily Pivot Point S11713.28
Daily Pivot Point S21697.14
Daily Pivot Point S31688.44
Daily Pivot Point R11738.12
Daily Pivot Point R21746.82
Daily Pivot Point R31762.96

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD: Downward-sloping trendline near 1.3470 remains key barrier

The British pound faces selling pressure against its major currency peers, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3420 against the US Dollar during the European trading session on Tuesday.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500, awaits US jobs data

EUR/USD holds steady around 1.1505 in European trading hours on Tuesday. Markets remain cautious ahead of a slew of US jobs data, starting with the JOLTS Job Openings Survey later today. However, the downside appears capped by hot Eurozone inflation in July, bolstering the case for a European Central Bank rate hike at the next meeting.

Gold holds steady above $4,050; hawkish Fed bets favor bearish traders

Gold remains confined in a range below the $4,100 mark through the early European session as traders opt to wait for further developments surrounding the Middle East crisis. Meanwhile, the uncertainty over US-Iran peace talks continues to act as a tailwind for the safe-haven US Dollar.

Aave: Bearish RSI divergence risks a 20% drop despite steady DeFi deposits

Aave (AAVE) extends a mild near-term recovery on Tuesday, holding above its 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $90.80. Aave protocol’s V3 deployment on Monad blockchain recorded over $500 million in deposits over the last month, reflecting increased user adoption.

US JOLTs report in focus
In the US, the June JOLTs report will be in the spotlight. Job openings have increased modestly this year, which has historically predicted rising wage cost pressures ahead. June trade balance data will also be released in the afternoon and the preliminary reading pointed towards a stable trade deficit from May. The Fed's Schmid (non-voter, hawk) will be on the wires overnight.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.