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Gold Price Analysis: Retreats to 200-HMA, bearish candle on weekly chart

  • Gold has fallen back to key MA support with the US equity index futures turning higher. 
  • The metal's weekly chart shows scope for a deeper drop during the week ahead. 

Gold has surrendered gains seen in early Asia and could revisit the Feb. 5 low of $1,548 during the week ahead. 

The yellow metal is currently trading around the 200-hour moving average (HMA) at $1,570, having hit a high of $1,576 in early Asia.

The pullback could be associated with the positive turn around in the US equity index futures. At press time, the futures on the S&P 500 are reporting a 0.10% gain compared to a 0.5% drop seen in early Asia. 

The safe-haven metal may continue to lose ground, as early signs of bearish reversal have emerged on the weekly chart. 

Gold created bearish outside week candle last week, which occurs when prices drop engulfing the preceding candle's trading range (high and low). That candle represents bullish exhaustion and often precedes notable downturns. 

The immediate support at $1,548 (Feb. 5 low), if breached, could cause more sellers to join the market, yielding a drop to $1,519 (Oct. 3 high). On the higher side, resistance is seen at $1,593. A close higher would open the doors to $1,611 (Jan. 8 high). 

Weekly chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1570.55
Today Daily Change0.42
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1570.13
 
Trends
Daily SMA201564.68
Daily SMA501526.34
Daily SMA1001506.11
Daily SMA2001459.12
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1574.14
Previous Daily Low1560.5
Previous Weekly High1594.01
Previous Weekly Low1547.56
Previous Monthly High1611.53
Previous Monthly Low1517.1
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1568.93
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1565.71
Daily Pivot Point S11562.37
Daily Pivot Point S21554.62
Daily Pivot Point S31548.73
Daily Pivot Point R11576.01
Daily Pivot Point R21581.9
Daily Pivot Point R31589.65

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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