|

Gold Price Analysis: Remains below key counter-trendline resistance

  • Gold is not going down without a fight on the short-term time frames. 
  • The broader bias remains in the hands of the bears. 

Gold is under pressure on the weekly and daily chart, but the 4-hour time frame is proving problematic to the bearish case.

The following illustrates the bearish bias in a top-down analysis:

Weekly chart

There is an opportunity on the weekly chart to trade the next downside extension following the latest correction.

Daily chart

The daily chart shows that the price has already broken trendline support which is now expected to act as a counter trend line resistance. 

A break below the 21-day moving average would add more conviction to the bearish case. 

4-hour chart

However, the bearish outlook has not been an easy ride so far on the 4-hour time frame. 

The yellow metal remains coiled in a tight range. 

The price action has been unfavourable to the overall bearish outlook and is testing the bear's commitments at this juncture. 

A break above the resistance structure will put the counter trendline and 21-moving average into jeopardy.

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to small gains near 1.3450 after UK jobs data

GBP/USD trades in positive territory at around 1.3450 in the European session on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but failed to provide any impetus to the British Pound's renewed uptick. Traders stay cautious amid US-Iran uncertainty and the UK political transition.

EUR/USD keeps range above 1.1400 after German ZEW

EUR/USD is keeping its range above 1.1400 in Tuesday's European session, as the US Dollar (USD) retreats following Monday's rebound. Nevertheless, the uncertainty around the US-Iran conflict limits the pair's upside. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) pays little heed to the strong German sentiment data, as traders await Thursday's European Central Bank policy announcements, which could drive the Euro's near-term valuation.

Gold extends recovery toward $4,100

Gold gains traction following Monday's choppy action and advances toward $4,100 on Tuesday. However, the uncertainty surrounding the conflict in the Middle East and growing expectations for a hawkish Federal Reserve policy outlook could make it difficult for the precious metal to gather bullish momentum in the near term.

Shiba Inu price extends gains as on-chain and derivatives metrics confirm bullish bias

Shiba Inu extends gains, trading above $0.0000042 after breaking above the descending trendline the previous day. Strengthening on-chain data and improving derivatives metrics support further gains for the meme coin. CryptoQuant’s exchange netflow chart below shows five consecutive days of net outflows since July 17.

Brent nears a critical crossroads as the global economy faces one too
Markets spent last Friday digesting a Reuters report that Iran has told the Houthis to stand ready to close Bab el-Mandeb if the US strikes Iranian power infrastructure — missiles and drones are reportedly already positioned near the strait, awaiting the order from IRGC officers in Yemen.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.