|

Gold Price Analysis: Drops 1%, bearish RSI divergence on 1H chart

  • Gold drops alongside losses in the US stock futures. 
  • The number of coronavirus cases surges in China. 
  • Gold's hourly chart suggests scope for a deeper price pullback.

Gold is flashing red on Monday despite the renewed coronavirus concerns and signs of risk-off in the US stock futures.

The yellow metal is trading at $1,682 per ounce, representing a 1% drop on the day, having faced rejection at $1,690 during the early Asian trading hours. 

China reported 99 new coronavirus cases on Saturday, the highest in recent weeks, according to The Economic Times. Further, the number of new cases rose to 108 on Sunday, taking the nationwide tally to 82,160, according to William Yang, East Asia correspondent for DW. 

The surge in new cases seems to be weighing over the S&P 500 futures, which are currently down 1.7%. 

Gold, a classic haven asset, could continue to ignore the risk-off in the US index futures, as the yellow metal's hourly chart is reporting a bearish divergence of the relative strength index, which occurs when the indicator prints lower highs as opposed to higher highs. 

The bearish divergence is widely considered an early sign of bearish reversal and would gain credence if the immediate horizontal support at $1,678 is breached. That would expose the 50-hour average, currently at $1,660. 

On the higher side, a convincing move above $1,690 would revive the immediate bullish setup. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Bearish 

Technical levels

XAU/USD

Overview
Today last price1683.68
Today Daily Change-0.66
Today Daily Change %-0.04
Today daily open1684.34
 
Trends
Daily SMA201587.32
Daily SMA501599.54
Daily SMA1001556.37
Daily SMA2001519.05
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1690.42
Previous Daily Low1643.82
Previous Weekly High1690.42
Previous Weekly Low1609.15
Previous Monthly High1703.27
Previous Monthly Low1451.3
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1672.62
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1661.62
Daily Pivot Point S11655.3
Daily Pivot Point S21626.26
Daily Pivot Point S31608.7
Daily Pivot Point R11701.9
Daily Pivot Point R21719.46
Daily Pivot Point R31748.5

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold flat lines below $4,150 as rallying USD offsets receding Fed hike bets

Gold extends its consolidative price move, trading below $4,150 heading into the European session, and moves within a range held over the past week or so. As investors look past Friday's disappointing US jobs data, the US Dollar regains strong positive traction and rallies to a fresh high since April 2025. This is seen as a key factor capping the commodity, though receding bets for an October rate hike by the Federal Reserve help limit the downside.

BNB: Derivatives back bullish upside continuation

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, edges lower trading around $790 on Monday after posting three consecutive weekly gains. Rising Open Interest and positive funding rates suggest that bullish positioning is strengthening in the derivatives market.

Economics week ahead
In the U.S., the September ISM Services index is expected to ease modestly while continuing to signal expansion, with particular attention on whether price pressures remain elevated. In Canada, the labor market likely rebounded in September, although broader trends still point to a cooling pace of employment growth.
The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.