|

Gold Price Analysis: Corrective pullback stalls at key $1933 support, what’s next? – Confluence Detector

Gold (XAU/USD) recorded a fresh all-time high above $1980, as the quest for the psychological $2000 level continues on Tuesday.

An unprecedented Fed’s stimulus, falling real rates into the negative territory and US fiscal deadlock weighed on the US dollar, benefiting the yieldless gold. Further, growing concerns over the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic also collaborated with the upside in the traditional safe-haven.

The yellow metal, however, failed to hold up at higher levels and saw a quick drop of about $35, as the greenback retraced some of its recent losses. Let’s look at the key levels for trading gold in the day ahead, as suggested by the Technical Confluences Indicator.

Key resistances and supports

The tool shows that the bright metal tested a cluster of strong support levels around $1935/33 on a sharp corrective slide from near the record highs. That zone is the confluence of the Fibonacci 23.6% one-day, pivot point one-month R3 and pivot one-week R1.

The metal then bounced-off the key support, with the recovery attempt seen capped around $1950, the previous day high.

Acceptance above the latter will open doors towards the retest of the record highs at $1981.34. A brief phase of consolidation could be seen before the bulls take on the $2000 level.

Alternatively, a sustained break below the aforesaid powerful support around $1935 could see the downside target at $1930, the confluence of the Fibonacci 38.2% one-day and SMA10 four-hour.

The next cushion is directly aligned at $1919, the Fibonacci 61.8% one-day.

Here is how it looks on the tool

fxsoriginal

About the Confluence Detector

With the Confluence Detector tool, you can easily locate areas where the price can find a support zone or resistance zone and make trading decisions. If you are a short-term trader, you will find entry points for counter-trend strategies and hunt a few points each time.                                                        

Learn more about Technical Confluence

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.