|

Gold Price Analysis: Bulls target $1,820, 1-hour Momentum points to meanwhile correction

  • Gold prices have been back on the bid through the psychological 1800 level. 
  • $1,820 is a marked target to the upside, but the hourly chart is on the verge of a healthy correction. 

As per the prior analysis, Gold Price Analysis: Target achieved and fresh bear-cycle lows for 2021, where the price met weekly demand, it was argued that the price would resume the upside as follows:

Prior analysis

At this juncture, considering the weekly support, the price would now be expected to correct to the upside and restest the resistance of the $1,800 level again.

Daily chart

On the way there, $1,785 will be the first hurdle until the 38.2%, old support and psychological round number, $1,800, confluence. 

Live market analysis

Meanwhile, the price has moved according to the analysis and has respected both the $1,785 and $1,800 levels as follows:

The US dollar has taken a nosedive at the start of the week which is fuelling the corrective surge to beyond a 50% mean reversion of the 10. Feb highs to the recent low's range as well as the 10-day EMA. 

This gives scope to a continuation to test the bear's commitments at $1,820 where there is a confluence of the 61.8% Fibo retracements of the same range and the 20-day EMA. 

On the way there, however and according to 1-hour Momentum, a correction to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement or a 50% mean reversion of the recent bullish impulse may be in order first.  This area comes in at $1,803/05 as a supporting structure.

Deeper than that, there is a confluence of the hourly 10-SMA and the 61.8% Fibo of the same range at $1,800 psychological support:

1-hour chart

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.