|

Gold Price Analysis: Bulls target $1,820, 1-hour Momentum points to meanwhile correction

  • Gold prices have been back on the bid through the psychological 1800 level. 
  • $1,820 is a marked target to the upside, but the hourly chart is on the verge of a healthy correction. 

As per the prior analysis, Gold Price Analysis: Target achieved and fresh bear-cycle lows for 2021, where the price met weekly demand, it was argued that the price would resume the upside as follows:

Prior analysis

At this juncture, considering the weekly support, the price would now be expected to correct to the upside and restest the resistance of the $1,800 level again.

Daily chart

On the way there, $1,785 will be the first hurdle until the 38.2%, old support and psychological round number, $1,800, confluence. 

Live market analysis

Meanwhile, the price has moved according to the analysis and has respected both the $1,785 and $1,800 levels as follows:

The US dollar has taken a nosedive at the start of the week which is fuelling the corrective surge to beyond a 50% mean reversion of the 10. Feb highs to the recent low's range as well as the 10-day EMA. 

This gives scope to a continuation to test the bear's commitments at $1,820 where there is a confluence of the 61.8% Fibo retracements of the same range and the 20-day EMA. 

On the way there, however and according to 1-hour Momentum, a correction to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement or a 50% mean reversion of the recent bullish impulse may be in order first.  This area comes in at $1,803/05 as a supporting structure.

Deeper than that, there is a confluence of the hourly 10-SMA and the 61.8% Fibo of the same range at $1,800 psychological support:

1-hour chart

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.